Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | No | 41.67 | $0.240 | $16.87 | +$6.87 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 18.18 | $0.550 | $10 | 26d ago |
 |
| No |
| 18.18 |
| $0.550 |
| $15.18 |
| +$5.18 |
 Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 20.55 | $0.730 | $13.46 | -$1.54 |
 Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | No | 6.94 | $0.720 | $6.22 | +$1.22 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | No | 41.67 | $0.120 | $4.79 | -$0.21 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 21.74 | $0.460 | $0.14 | -$9.86 |
| buy |
| 500 |
| $0.010 |
| $5 |
| 26d ago |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?Yes | buy | 16.13 | $0.310 | $5 | 26d ago |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?No | buy | 6.94 | $0.720 | $5 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?No | buy | 16.67 | $0.300 | $5 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Yes | buy | 14.49 | $0.690 | $10 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 6:30PM-6:35PM ETUp | buy | 10.42 | $0.480 | $5 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in June?Yes | buy | 18.04 | $0.277 | $5 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?Yes | buy | 23.26 | $0.430 | $10 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?No | buy | 22.22 | $0.450 | $10 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on June 4?Up | buy | 29.41 | $0.340 | $10 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 41.67 | $0.120 | $5 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 41.67 | $0.240 | $10 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 21.74 | $0.460 | $10 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 27.03 | $0.370 | $10 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes | buy | 20.55 | $0.730 | $15 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Will United Kingdom be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.050 | $5 | May 16, 2026 |
 Will Germany be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 18.52 | $0.054 | $1 | May 16, 2026 |
 Will France be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 7.94 | $0.630 | $5 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will Germany come in last place at Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 34.73 | $0.144 | $5 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will United Kingdom come in last place at Eurovision 2026?No | buy | 17.76 | $0.563 | $10 | May 16, 2026 |
 Will Finland win the televote for Eurovision 2026?No | buy | 6.41 | $0.780 | $5 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 10.04 | $0.498 | $5 | May 16, 2026 |
 Will "Expensive" be said during Eurovision?No | buy | 5.32 | $0.940 | $5 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will Germany come in last place at Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 77.54 | $0.129 | $10 | May 16, 2026 |
 Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 6.33 | $0.790 | $5 | May 16, 2026 |
 Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?No | buy | 14.2 | $0.704 | $10 | May 16, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 17.01 | $0.294 | $5 | May 16, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?No | buy | 100 | $0.050 | $5 | May 1, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:10PM-7:15PM ETUp | buy | 7.04 | $0.710 | $5 | May 1, 2026 |
 Spirit Airlines shutdown/liquidation by May 31?No | buy | 16.13 | $0.310 | $5 | May 1, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes | buy | 32.61 | $0.092 | $3 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:55PM-2:00PM ETUp | buy | 2.52 | $0.360 | $0.91 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 AI data center moratorium passed before 2027?No | buy | 145.97 | $0.034 | $5 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 Starmer out by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 27.03 | $0.037 | $1 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Starmer out by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 31.25 | $0.320 | $10 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1500?Yes | buy | 23.4 | $0.200 | $4.68 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 5:45PM-5:50PM ETUp | buy | 14.1 | $0.320 | $4.51 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by April 30?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.180 | $5 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?Yes | buy | 23.58 | $0.077 | $1.82 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 5:25PM-5:30PM ETUp | buy | 6.21 | $0.780 | $4.84 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?Yes | buy | 39.38 | $0.118 | $4.65 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?Yes | buy | 17.53 | $0.550 | $9.64 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 6.1 | $0.820 | $5 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| AI data center moratorium passed before 2027?No | buy | 52.63 | $0.190 | $10 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No | buy | 9.98 | $0.480 | $4.79 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.800 | $5 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 25 | $0.400 | $10 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 8.06 | $0.620 | $5 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 5.38 | $0.930 | $5 | Apr 23, 2026 |