Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 2.23 | $0.850 | $1.95 | +$0.06 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?No | buy | 36.51 | $0.990 | $36.14 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 15 |
| $0.650 |
| $0.01 |
| -$9.74 |
| buy |
| 100 |
| $0.958 |
| $95.8 |
| May 29, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by June 30?No | buy | 100 | $0.958 | $95.8 | May 29, 2026 |
 Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.300 | $15 | May 27, 2026 |
| Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.430 | $21.5 | May 19, 2026 |
 Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 23.35 | $0.820 | $19.15 | May 12, 2026 |
 Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?Yes | sell | 7.57 | $0.800 | $6.06 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by May 31?Yes | sell | 7.84 | $0.860 | $6.74 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Will Park Ju-min win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionNo | sell | 8.38 | $0.996 | $8.35 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 9.71 | $0.972 | $9.44 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Viroliubivka by April 30?No | sell | 14 | $0.964 | $13.5 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?No | sell | 14.45 | $0.410 | $5.92 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?No | sell | 15 | $0.740 | $11.1 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?No | sell | 15 | $0.400 | $6 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by April 30?No | sell | 15.01 | $0.930 | $13.96 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 16 | $0.590 | $9.44 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 16.92 | $0.938 | $15.87 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Bank of England rate hike in 2026?Yes | sell | 17.49 | $0.360 | $6.3 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No | sell | 20 | $0.999 | $19.98 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.670 | $13.4 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Lyman by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 23.39 | $0.880 | $20.58 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?No | sell | 24.98 | $0.973 | $24.31 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.868 | $21.7 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?No | sell | 25 | $0.620 | $15.5 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No | sell | 25 | $0.989 | $24.73 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | sell | 27.46 | $0.800 | $21.97 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?No | sell | 30 | $0.550 | $16.5 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?No | sell | 30 | $0.780 | $23.4 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?No | sell | 35 | $0.690 | $24.15 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 45 | $0.690 | $31.05 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.150 | $7.5 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?Yes | sell | 45.7 | $0.100 | $4.57 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?No | buy | 66.27 | $0.962 | $63.75 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | sell | 37.24 | $0.990 | $36.87 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?No | sell | 93 | $0.999 | $92.91 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 31?No | sell | 74.19 | $0.991 | $73.52 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Another US bank failure by March 31?No | sell | 15 | $0.989 | $14.83 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?No | sell | 52.75 | $0.999 | $52.7 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $710b on March 31?No | sell | 15.96 | $0.987 | $15.75 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by March 31?No | sell | 25 | $0.994 | $24.85 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Iran coup attempt by June 30?No | sell | 72.86 | $0.800 | $58.29 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?No | sell | 11.81 | $0.933 | $11.02 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by March 31?No | sell | 46.91 | $0.994 | $46.63 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?No | sell | 59.72 | $0.999 | $59.66 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?No | sell | 24.75 | $0.920 | $22.77 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?No | sell | 42.65 | $0.995 | $42.44 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31?No | sell | 176.52 | $0.310 | $54.72 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Yes | sell | 76.83 | $0.300 | $23.05 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?No | sell | 30.51 | $0.995 | $30.36 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?No | sell | 32.5 | $0.988 | $32.11 | Mar 31, 2026 |