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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | Yes | 5.48 | $0.620 | $5.24 | +$1.84 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 5.73 | $0.330 | $1.89 | 2h ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 11.21 |
| $0.355 |
| $4.77 |
| +$0.79 |
| LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch? | Yes | 5.13 | $0.780 | $4.31 | +$0.31 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | No | 6.06 | $0.660 | $3.48 | -$0.52 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? | Yes | 5.4 | $0.300 | $1.81 | +$0.19 |
 US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by September 30? | Yes | 11.31 | $0.160 | $1.75 | -$0.06 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | Yes | 11.2 | $0.140 | $1.51 | -$0.06 |
| LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? | Yes | 5.73 | $0.330 | $1.29 | -$0.6 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes | 5.25 | $0.250 | $1.02 | -$0.29 |
| buy |
| 5.13 |
| $0.780 |
| $4 |
| 2h ago |
| US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by September 30?Yes | buy | 11.31 | $0.160 | $1.81 | 17h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 5.69 | $0.350 | $1.99 | 19h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 6.06 | $0.660 | $4 | 19h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 5.53 | $0.360 | $1.99 | 19h ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | sell | 0.09 | $0.130 | $0.01 | 1d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | sell | 25.33 | $0.037 | $0.95 | 1d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 5.24 | $0.250 | $1.31 | 1d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | buy | 11.29 | $0.140 | $1.58 | 1d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | buy | 25.33 | $0.060 | $1.52 | 1d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 5.48 | $0.620 | $3.4 | 1d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 5.4 | $0.300 | $1.62 | 1d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | sell | 5.26 | $0.250 | $1.32 | 2d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 5.27 | $0.260 | $1.37 | 2d ago |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 0.12 | $0.580 | $0.07 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Starmer out by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 0.49 | $0.190 | $0.09 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?Yes | sell | 19.14 | $0.005 | $0.1 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 0.13 | $0.886 | $0.12 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | sell | 7.22 | $0.018 | $0.13 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.25 | $0.760 | $0.19 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | sell | 3.01 | $0.120 | $0.36 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 1.29 | $0.170 | $0.22 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.33 | $0.170 | $0.06 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.12 | $0.450 | $0.05 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 8.05 | $0.060 | $0.48 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 0.73 | $0.774 | $0.57 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | sell | 0.74 | $0.967 | $0.72 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 6 | $0.230 | $1.38 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Yes | sell | 2.41 | $0.740 | $1.78 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?No | sell | 5.77 | $0.299 | $1.72 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | sell | 3.9 | $0.500 | $1.95 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 5.57 | $0.470 | $2.62 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 6.22 | $0.410 | $2.55 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | sell | 3.56 | $0.770 | $2.74 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay?No | sell | 3.51 | $0.830 | $2.91 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?Yes | sell | 4.81 | $0.680 | $3.27 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | sell | 18.47 | $0.190 | $3.51 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?Yes | sell | 4.26 | $0.770 | $3.28 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | sell | 4.63 | $0.790 | $3.66 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 8.09 | $0.510 | $4.13 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 27.9 | $0.145 | $4.05 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 10.59 | $0.520 | $5.51 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | sell | 7.04 | $0.920 | $6.48 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes | sell | 14.02 | $0.490 | $6.87 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 8.84 | $0.820 | $7.25 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?No | sell | 7.62 | $0.964 | $7.35 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | sell | 11.6 | $0.969 | $11.24 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No | sell | 11.41 | $0.990 | $11.3 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ETDown | sell | 1.96 | $0.460 | $0.9 | Jun 12, 2026 |