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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | No | 238.42 | $0.839 | $206.23 | +$6.23 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will exactly 3 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?Yes | buy | 130.86 | $0.076 | $10 | 3d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 271.06 |
| $0.258 |
| $54.62 |
| -$15.38 |
 Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Yes | 93.75 | $0.320 | $30 | $0 |
| Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Yes | 68.97 | $0.290 | $24.83 | +$4.83 |
| Will exactly 2 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed? | Yes | 72.92 | $0.274 | $21.88 | +$1.88 |
| Israel election: will Likud lose seats? | Yes | 22.99 | $0.870 | $21.03 | +$1.03 |
 Israeli election results in a hung parliament? | Yes | 23.97 | $0.417 | $8.27 | -$1.73 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 41.67 | $0.240 | $6.04 | -$3.96 |
| Will exactly 3 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed? | Yes | 130.86 | $0.076 | $3.21 | -$6.79 |
 Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? | Yes | 14.93 | $0.670 | $1.72 | -$8.28 |
| buy |
| 72.92 |
| $0.274 |
| $20 |
| 3d ago |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 12.2 | $0.410 | $5 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceArgentina | buy | 49.38 | $0.405 | $20 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes | buy | 68.97 | $0.290 | $20 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes | buy | 93.75 | $0.320 | $30 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Israeli election results in a hung parliament?Yes | buy | 23.97 | $0.417 | $10 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Israel election: will Likud lose seats?Yes | buy | 22.99 | $0.870 | $20 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | sell | 89.68 | $0.999 | $89.59 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | sell | 83.33 | $0.120 | $10 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?Yes | buy | 35.97 | $0.139 | $5 | May 31, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.640 | $20 | May 19, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.540 | $60 | May 17, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Yes | buy | 85.71 | $0.350 | $30 | May 17, 2026 |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?No | buy | 238.42 | $0.839 | $200 | May 6, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?No | buy | 26.67 | $0.750 | $20 | Apr 11, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 12:35AM-12:40AM ETDown | buy | 7.55 | $0.640 | $4.83 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 12:25AM-12:30AM ETUp | buy | 14.45 | $0.670 | $9.68 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes | buy | 43.48 | $0.460 | $20 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 29, 2026?Yes | buy | 24.47 | $0.817 | $20 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 10:00PM-10:05PM ETUp | buy | 138.67 | $0.706 | $97.84 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 9:55PM-10:00PM ETUp | buy | 13.26 | $0.740 | $9.81 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 7:05PM-7:10PM ETUp | buy | 15.93 | $0.610 | $9.72 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 12:00AM-12:05AM ETUp | buy | 16.19 | $0.600 | $9.71 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 6:50PM-6:55PM ETDown | buy | 12.48 | $0.790 | $9.86 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 6:45PM-6:50PM ETUp | sell | 13.56 | $0.990 | $13.42 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 6:45PM-6:50PM ETUp | buy | 13.43 | $0.730 | $9.81 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 12:30PM-12:35PM ETUp | buy | 11.8 | $0.840 | $9.91 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 7:25AM-7:30AM ETUp | buy | 8.23 | $0.590 | $4.85 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Yes | buy | 11.76 | $0.850 | $10 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 8:45PM-8:50PM ETUp | buy | 17.02 | $0.570 | $9.7 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 8:25PM-8:30PM ETDown | buy | 13.43 | $0.730 | $9.81 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 8:25PM-8:30PM ETUp | sell | 16.98 | $0.260 | $4.41 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 8:25PM-8:30PM ETUp | buy | 16.73 | $0.580 | $9.7 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 8:10PM-8:15PM ETDown | sell | 13.38 | $0.930 | $12.44 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 8:10PM-8:15PM ETDown | buy | 13.26 | $0.740 | $9.81 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 8:05PM-8:10PM ETUp | sell | 20.31 | $0.457 | $9.29 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 8:05PM-8:10PM ETUp | buy | 19.99 | $0.485 | $9.69 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 6:15PM-6:20PM ETDown | sell | 17.28 | $0.680 | $11.75 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 6:15PM-6:20PM ETDown | buy | 17.02 | $0.570 | $9.7 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 6:10PM-6:15PM ETDown | buy | 16.45 | $0.590 | $9.71 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 5:55PM-6:00PM ETUp | buy | 13.1 | $0.750 | $9.82 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 5:50PM-5:55PM ETDown | buy | 29.97 | $0.650 | $19.48 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 5:45PM-5:50PM ETDown | buy | 52.87 | $0.550 | $29.08 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 5:35PM-5:40PM ETUp | buy | 16.45 | $0.590 | $9.71 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 5:35PM-5:40PM ETDown | sell | 21.4 | $0.430 | $9.2 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 5:35PM-5:40PM ETDown | buy | 21.07 | $0.460 | $9.69 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 5:25PM-5:30PM ETUp | buy | 11.3 | $0.880 | $9.94 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 5:20PM-5:25PM ETUp | buy | 14.77 | $0.660 | $9.75 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 5:10PM-5:15PM ETDown | sell | 25.18 | $0.990 | $24.93 | Mar 15, 2026 |