Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.8K | $0.001 | $1.8 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 151.27 |
| $0.011 |
| $1.72 |
| Jan 22, 2026 |
| Will Phan Van Giang be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?Yes | buy | 151.27 | $0.065 | $9.9 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.024 | $2.4 | Oct 17, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.930 | $7.44 | Oct 17, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.920 | $7.36 | Oct 14, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.060 | $6 | Oct 14, 2025 |
 Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes | buy | 299 | $0.013 | $3.89 | Oct 3, 2025 |
 US government shutdown by October 1?No | buy | 137 | $0.220 | $30.14 | Sep 30, 2025 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | sell | 52.63 | $0.110 | $5.79 | Aug 8, 2025 |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.190 | $10 | Jul 14, 2025 |
 Will Gen.G win the 2025 Mid-Season Invitational?Yes | buy | 126.48 | $0.400 | $50.59 | Jul 13, 2025 |
| MSI Playoffs: Bilibili Gaming vs. Anyone's LegendBilibili Gaming | buy | 242.71 | $0.210 | $50.97 | Jul 11, 2025 |
| MSI Playoffs: Gen.G vs. T1T1 | buy | 221.74 | $0.230 | $51 | Jul 10, 2025 |
| MSI Playoffs: Bilibili Gaming vs. FlyQuestFlyQuest | buy | 200 | $0.250 | $50 | Jul 9, 2025 |
| MSI Playoffs: Bilibili Gaming vs. FlyQuestFlyQuest | buy | 187.5 | $0.160 | $30 | Jul 9, 2025 |
| MSI Playoffs: Bilibili Gaming vs. FlyQuestFlyQuest | buy | 133.33 | $0.150 | $20 | Jul 9, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by March 31?No | buy | 52.57 | $0.610 | $32.07 | Jan 16, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Kamala" during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.250 | $5 | Jan 16, 2025 |
 Will Pete Hegseth be Trump's Defense Secretary?Yes | sell | 39.02 | $0.950 | $37.07 | Jan 16, 2025 |
| Will Pete Hegseth be Trump's Defense Secretary?Yes | buy | 39.02 | $0.480 | $18.73 | Dec 7, 2024 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.130 | $10 | Dec 7, 2024 |
 South Korean President impeached in 2024?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.520 | $2.6 | Dec 7, 2024 |
| South Korean President impeached in 2024?Yes | buy | 55.24 | $0.450 | $24.86 | Dec 5, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?Yes | buy | 24.58 | $0.773 | $19 | Dec 2, 2024 |
 Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | sell | 35.71 | $0.540 | $19.28 | Dec 1, 2024 |
 Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden?No | buy | 31.36 | $0.700 | $21.95 | Nov 21, 2024 |
 Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility in 2024?No | buy | 41.1 | $0.730 | $30 | Nov 8, 2024 |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | buy | 35.71 | $0.560 | $20 | Nov 7, 2024 |
 Trump nominates Elon Musk to Cabinet?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.300 | $10 | Nov 7, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 81.57 | $0.613 | $50 | Nov 5, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 102.54 | $0.390 | $39.99 | Nov 5, 2024 |