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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed rate hike in 2026? | No | 404.06 | $0.598 | $119.2 | -$122.39 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 1.31K | $0.721 | $946.15 | Jul 29, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 1.36K |
| $0.734 |
| $1K |
| Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 1.32K | $0.757 | $996.06 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.19K | $0.757 | $900 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.39K | $0.719 | $1K | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?No | buy | 404.06 | $0.598 | $241.59 | May 22, 2026 |
 Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?Yes | sell | 199.99 | $0.964 | $192.79 | May 22, 2026 |
| Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?Yes | buy | 126.58 | $0.790 | $100 | May 5, 2026 |
| Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?Yes | buy | 199.99 | $0.870 | $173.99 | May 5, 2026 |
 Romania No-Confidence vote passes?Yes | buy | 13.6 | $0.790 | $10.74 | May 5, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 2.43K | $0.037 | $90.05 | May 5, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.43K | $0.103 | $250 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes | sell | 617.28 | $0.970 | $598.76 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes | buy | 617.28 | $0.810 | $500 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 US x Iran meeting by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 538.58 | $0.929 | $500.34 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?Yes | sell | 454.54 | $0.996 | $452.72 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Yes | sell | 892.85 | $0.995 | $888.39 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?Yes | buy | 454.55 | $0.550 | $250 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Yes | buy | 892.86 | $0.280 | $250 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will PSV win on 2026-03-14?Yes | sell | 320.15 | $0.660 | $211.3 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Will PSV win on 2026-03-14?Yes | buy | 289.86 | $0.690 | $200 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Will PSV win on 2026-03-14?Yes | buy | 30.3 | $0.680 | $20.6 | Mar 9, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?No | sell | 265.39 | $0.940 | $249.47 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 312.5 | $0.160 | $50 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 312.5 | $0.160 | $50 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?No | buy | 265.39 | $0.942 | $250 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Espresso FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 516.31 | $0.968 | $500 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 408.33 | $0.966 | $394.45 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.061 | $3.03 | Dec 7, 2025 |
| Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.317 | $15.86 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.600 | $60 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 Stable FDV above $2B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 127.13 | $0.772 | $98.15 | Dec 5, 2025 |
 Will Catalin Drula be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No | buy | 105.26 | $0.950 | $100 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Will Anca Alexandrescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No | buy | 100 | $0.916 | $91.6 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - November 27, 9AM ETDown | sell | 100 | $0.691 | $69.07 | Nov 27, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 27, 9AM ETUp | sell | 100 | $0.350 | $35 | Nov 27, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 27, 8AM ETDown | sell | 100 | $0.999 | $99.9 | Nov 27, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?Yes | sell | 109.64 | $0.988 | $108.32 | Nov 27, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 26, 5AM ETDown | sell | 100 | $0.490 | $49 | Nov 26, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 26, 5AM ETDown | buy | 100 | $0.500 | $50 | Nov 26, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 26, 2AM ETDown | buy | 50 | $0.001 | $0.05 | Nov 26, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?Yes | buy | 109.65 | $0.912 | $100 | Nov 26, 2025 |
 Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 110.01 | $0.909 | $100 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 Maduro out by November 30, 2025?No | sell | 52.41 | $0.960 | $50.31 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 208.33 | $0.480 | $100 | Nov 15, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.480 | $96 | Nov 15, 2025 |
 Canton FDV above $3B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 108.63 | $0.881 | $95.75 | Nov 11, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?Yes | sell | 82.22 | $0.954 | $78.44 | Nov 11, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 6AM ETUp | buy | 6.76 | $0.740 | $5 | Nov 11, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end by November 30?Yes | sell | 102.66 | $0.996 | $102.25 | Nov 11, 2025 |