Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes | 88 | $0.637 | $56.76 | +$0.68 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 46 | $0.660 | $30.36 | 1d ago |
| Yes |
| 61 |
| $0.833 |
| $51.7 |
| +$0.88 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 56 | $0.720 | $45.64 | +$5.32 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 52 | $0.780 | $44.98 | +$4.42 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 47 | $0.860 | $41.6 | +$1.18 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | No | 48 | $0.850 | $40.56 | -$0.24 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 53 | $0.760 | $39.49 | -$0.8 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 81 | $0.505 | $36.86 | -$4.03 |
 Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | No | 41 | $0.860 | $35.88 | +$0.62 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | No | 41.63 | $0.588 | $35.59 | +$11.13 |
 Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? | No | 40 | $0.550 | $32 | +$10 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 46 | $0.660 | $30.59 | +$0.23 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | No | 37.5 | $0.800 | $29.81 | -$0.19 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | No | 43 | $0.590 | $27.74 | +$2.37 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | No | 25 | $0.778 | $23.38 | +$3.93 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | No | 27 | $0.753 | $23.36 | +$3.02 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 13 | $0.830 | $11.38 | +$0.59 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No| sell |
| 13.87 |
| $0.850 |
| $11.79 |
| 1d ago |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | buy | 48 | $0.850 | $40.8 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 43 | $0.590 | $25.37 | 2d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 47 | $0.860 | $40.42 | 2d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 21 | $0.490 | $10.29 | 4d ago |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?No | buy | 41 | $0.860 | $35.26 | 6d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.510 | $30.6 | 6d ago |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 25 | $0.930 | $23.25 | 7d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 55.5 | $0.800 | $44.4 | 7d ago |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?No | sell | 12.5 | $0.730 | $9.13 | 8d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 56 | $0.720 | $40.32 | 8d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes | buy | 53 | $0.760 | $40.28 | 8d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 113 | $0.410 | $46.33 | 8d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.480 | $24 | 9d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 23.13 | $0.982 | $22.71 | 12d ago |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 61 | $0.870 | $53.07 | 13d ago |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 36 | $0.940 | $33.84 | 14d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | sell | 45 | $0.370 | $16.65 | 14d ago |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 6:00AM-6:15AM ETDown | sell | 10.11 | $0.930 | $9.4 | 14d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 6:00AM-6:15AM ETDown | buy | 30.3 | $0.660 | $20 | 14d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 85 | $0.590 | $50.15 | 15d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 45 | $0.350 | $15.75 | 16d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | sell | 157 | $0.650 | $102.05 | 16d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through October 31?Yes | buy | 68 | $0.670 | $45.56 | 16d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.950 | $4.75 | 20d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 9.37 | $0.950 | $8.9 | 20d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 12.5 | $0.950 | $11.88 | 20d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 40 | $0.660 | $26.4 | 21d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 40 | $0.660 | $26.4 | 21d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | sell | 10 | $0.640 | $6.4 | 22d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 61 | $0.830 | $50.63 | 22d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.690 | $20.7 | 22d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 63 | $0.720 | $45.36 | 22d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 26 | $0.580 | $15.08 | 24d ago |
 Israel closes its airspace by August 31?No | sell | 50 | $0.967 | $48.35 | 24d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.720 | $36 | 26d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Yes | buy | 58 | $0.610 | $35.38 | 26d ago |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.180 | $9 | 26d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 28.5 | $0.360 | $10.26 | 26d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Yes | sell | 75 | $0.140 | $10.5 | 26d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ETDown | sell | 12.86 | $0.750 | $9.65 | 28d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ETDown | buy | 23.81 | $0.630 | $15 | 28d ago |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | sell | 60 | $0.800 | $48 | 28d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 28.5 | $0.460 | $13.11 | 28d ago |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.240 | $12 | 28d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Yes | sell | 75 | $0.150 | $11.25 | 28d ago |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | sell | 50.63 | $0.981 | $49.67 | 28d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.170 | $25.5 | 29d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | sell | 26 | $0.830 | $21.58 | 29d ago |