Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.870 | $16.1 | -$1.3 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will "Widow's Bay" win 4 or 5 awards at the Emmys?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.640 | $12.8 | 1h ago |
 |
| No |
| 20 |
| $0.750 |
| $12.1 |
| -$2.9 |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.670 | $11.7 | -$1.7 |
 Will Mutfwang Caleb Manasseh win the 2027 Plateau State gubernatorial election? | Yes | 13.85 | $0.800 | $10.94 | -$0.14 |
 Will Harshan Ramadass win the 2026 Fernie mayoral election? | No | 20 | $0.560 | $8.3 | -$2.9 |
 Will Genta Koja win the 2026 Okinawa gubernatorial election? | No | 18.89 | $0.390 | $6.23 | -$1.13 |
 Will Renan win the second-most votes in the 2026 Alagoas Senate election? | Yes | 20 | $0.370 | $6.2 | -$1.2 |
 Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | No | 20 | $0.410 | $6.1 | -$2.1 |
 Will one person dissent the October Fed decision? | Yes | 20 | $0.220 | $4.3 | -$0.1 |
 SSI public model released by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.190 | $4 | +$0.2 |
| Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | Yes | 18.14 | $0.270 | $3.63 | -$1.27 |
 Will Trump say "Terrorist" 5+ times during remarks at the Pentagon? | Yes | 20 | $0.370 | $3 | -$4.4 |
 Will Stephen Skoly be the RI-02 Republican nominee? | No | 10 | $0.330 | $3 | -$0.3 |
| Will White House post 200+ posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | Yes | 5 | $0.360 | $2.85 | +$1.05 |
 Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by October 31, 2026? | No | 20 | $0.390 | $2.8 | -$5 |
| Will "Widow's Bay" win 6 or 7 awards at the Emmys? | Yes | 10 | $0.290 | $2.31 | -$0.59 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026? | No | 20 | $0.170 | $2.3 | -$1.1 |
 Will the first Atlantic hurricane form between September 16 and September 20, 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.110 | $2.1 | -$0.1 |
 Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13? | Yes | 6.05 | $0.190 | $1.94 | +$0.79 |
| Will Trump say "America First" during RNC Convention? | Yes | 3.67 | $0.740 | $1.49 | -$1.23 |
 Will London have less than 30mm of precipitation in September? | No | 1.9 | $0.790 | $1.41 | -$0.1 |
 Will there be a power grid emergency in California before October 1? | Yes | 20 | $0.090 | $1.1 | -$0.7 |
| Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.310 | $0.7 | -$2.4 |
| Will White House post 180-199 posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | Yes | 1.54 | $0.380 | $0.63 | +$0.05 |
 Will Chris Pappas win the New Hampshire Democratic Senate primary by 20–25%? | No | 0.8 | $0.770 | $0.6 | -$0.01 |
| buy |
| 5 |
| $0.360 |
| $1.8 |
| 5h ago |
 Will the Bank of Korea hold at the November 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 53 | $0.510 | $27.03 | 5h ago |
 Will Carol de Toni win the second-most votes in the 2026 Santa Catarina Senate election?No | buy | 5 | $0.700 | $3.5 | 18h ago |
 Will Haniff Hoosen be the next mayor of eThekwini?Yes | sell | 21.11 | $0.220 | $4.64 | 1d ago |
| Will Haniff Hoosen be the next mayor of eThekwini?Yes | sell | 18.89 | $0.260 | $4.91 | 1d ago |
 Will Hong Kong have less than 275mm of precipitation in September?No | sell | 20 | $0.360 | $7.2 | 1d ago |
| Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.040 | $0.4 | 1d ago |
| Will Carol de Toni win the second-most votes in the 2026 Santa Catarina Senate election?Yes | sell | 6.1 | $0.090 | $0.55 | 1d ago |
 Will Trump praise Elon Musk in September?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.120 | $1.8 | 1d ago |
 Will Centre Party (C) win between 5% and 7% of all valid votes?No | sell | 20 | $0.750 | $15 | 1d ago |
 Will Jakub Rychtecký be the next Mayor of Pardubice?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.370 | $7.4 | 1d ago |
 Will Aldo Ruberto win the 2026 Thunder Bay mayoral election?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.100 | $2 | 1d ago |
 Will Maura Sullivan be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?No | sell | 10 | $0.170 | $1.7 | 1d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.160 | $3.2 | 1d ago |
| Will White House post 180-199 posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026?Yes | sell | 8.77 | $0.180 | $1.58 | 1d ago |
 Will Stefany Shaheen be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?Yes | sell | 5.23 | $0.160 | $0.84 | 1d ago |
| Will Trump say "America First" during RNC Convention?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.740 | $3.7 | 1d ago |
 Will Sooialo Lemigaoitamalii Sooialo win the Vaimauga 3 by-election?Yes | buy | 20.05 | $0.195 | $3.91 | 1d ago |
 Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be less than $1,137,000 on September 30?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.150 | $3.01 | 1d ago |
 Will CZ post 0-19 posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.310 | $6.2 | 1d ago |
 Will Marcio Bittar win the most votes in the 2026 Acre Senate election?Yes | buy | 20.03 | $0.390 | $7.81 | 2d ago |
| Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.630 | $3.15 | 2d ago |
 Will The Left win the third most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.892 | $4.46 | 3d ago |
 Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.680 | $4.08 | 3d ago |
 Will CDU win less than 20% of all valid second votes?No | buy | 5 | $0.800 | $4 | 3d ago |
| Will CZ post 20-39 posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.850 | $17 | 3d ago |
| Will Chris Pappas win the New Hampshire Democratic Senate primary by 20–25%?No | buy | 17 | $0.770 | $13.09 | 3d ago |
 Will Seoul have less than 75mm of precipitation in September?No | buy | 80 | $0.520 | $41.6 | 3d ago |
| Will Seoul have less than 75mm of precipitation in September?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.470 | $37.6 | 3d ago |
| Will Seoul have less than 75mm of precipitation in September?No | buy | 80 | $0.510 | $40.8 | 3d ago |
| Will "Widow's Bay" win 4 or 5 awards at the Emmys?No | buy | 20 | $0.400 | $8 | 3d ago |
| Will Seoul have less than 75mm of precipitation in September?No | buy | 10.45 | $0.500 | $5.23 | 3d ago |
| Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 31-September 6?No | buy | 5 | $0.770 | $3.85 | 3d ago |
 Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026?No | buy | 13.04 | $0.135 | $1.76 | 3d ago |
| Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 12.01 | $0.851 | $10.22 | 3d ago |
| Will Seoul have less than 75mm of precipitation in September?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.450 | $18 | 4d ago |
| Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?Yes | buy | 6.05 | $0.190 | $1.15 | 4d ago |
| Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.630 | $6.3 | 4d ago |
 Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.320 | $6.4 | 4d ago |
 Will AfD win less than 39% of all valid second votes?No | buy | 5 | $0.840 | $4.2 | 4d ago |
| Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.670 | $13.4 | 4d ago |
| Will Seoul have less than 75mm of precipitation in September?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.480 | $9.6 | 4d ago |
| Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.610 | $3.05 | 4d ago |
| Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.380 | $1.9 | 5d ago |
| Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from August 28 to September 4, 2026?No | buy | 5.03 | $0.300 | $1.51 | 5d ago |
 Will the US add at least 150k jobs in August?No | buy | 5 | $0.850 | $4.25 | 5d ago |
| Will White House post 160-179 posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.590 | $2.95 | 5d ago |
| Will the Bank of Korea hold at the November 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 55 | $0.390 | $21.45 | 5d ago |
| Will CZ post 0-19 posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.320 | $6.4 | 5d ago |