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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 88 | $0.998 | $87.87 | +$0.04 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Solana dip to $10 in August?No | buy | 50 | $0.999 | $49.95 | 20d ago |
 |
| No |
| 26.71 |
| $0.984 |
| $26.64 |
| +$0.36 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 15.5 | $0.430 | $8.14 | +$1.47 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 15 | $0.333 | $6.88 | +$1.88 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Yes | 9.99 | $0.370 | $1.35 | -$2.35 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | Yes | 6 | $0.270 | $0.27 | -$1.35 |
 Iran Nuke before 2027? | Yes | 5 | $0.088 | $0.25 | -$0.19 |
| buy |
| 187 |
| $0.999 |
| $186.81 |
| 20d ago |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.996 | $9.96 | 20d ago |
 Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?No | buy | 55 | $0.999 | $54.95 | 20d ago |
 Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?No | buy | 33 | $0.999 | $32.97 | 20d ago |
 Will MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?No | buy | 222 | $0.998 | $221.56 | 20d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 88 | $0.998 | $87.82 | 20d ago |
 Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.140 | $1.12 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Trump out as President by July 31?No | buy | 220 | $0.991 | $218.02 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 247.2 | $0.999 | $246.95 | Jun 28, 2026 |
 Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 50 | $0.999 | $49.95 | Jun 28, 2026 |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 14.99 | $0.106 | $1.59 | Jun 28, 2026 |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 16 | $0.211 | $3.38 | Jun 28, 2026 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.230 | $3.45 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by June 30?No | buy | 256.3 | $0.999 | $256.04 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by May 31?No | buy | 305 | $0.999 | $304.7 | May 27, 2026 |
| Will Solana dip to $10 in May?No | buy | 108 | $0.999 | $107.89 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 15.5 | $0.430 | $6.67 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.333 | $5 | May 14, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?No | buy | 11 | $0.998 | $10.98 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will Solana reach $170 in May?No | buy | 269 | $0.997 | $268.19 | May 9, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on May 9?No | buy | 5 | $0.999 | $5 | May 9, 2026 |
 Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 30 | $0.981 | $29.43 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 21°C on April 5?No | buy | 29.99 | $0.995 | $29.84 | Apr 4, 2026 |
 Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?No | buy | 18 | $0.998 | $17.96 | Apr 4, 2026 |
 Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?No | buy | 36 | $0.998 | $35.93 | Apr 4, 2026 |
 Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?No | buy | 33 | $0.998 | $32.93 | Apr 4, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.997 | $19.94 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?No | buy | 36 | $0.999 | $35.96 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?No | buy | 33 | $0.999 | $32.97 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by March 31?No | buy | 233 | $0.995 | $231.84 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 S&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 30 | $0.987 | $29.61 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 150 | $0.984 | $147.6 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 Will Mistral have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?No | buy | 55 | $0.999 | $54.95 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 Will Z.ai have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.999 | $49.95 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 Will Arsenal finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?Yes | buy | 90 | $0.994 | $89.46 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 Will Florida win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?Yes | buy | 31 | $0.101 | $3.13 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?Yes | buy | 32 | $0.170 | $5.44 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.190 | $5.7 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.200 | $6 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?No | buy | 13 | $0.999 | $12.99 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 300 | $0.997 | $299.1 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 33 | $0.983 | $32.44 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $6,000 in January?No | buy | 450 | $0.999 | $449.55 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will Solana reach $210 in January?No | buy | 110 | $0.994 | $109.34 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 11PM ETDown | buy | 9 | $0.600 | $5.4 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?No | buy | 442 | $0.999 | $441.56 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 156 | $0.999 | $155.84 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 660 | $0.997 | $658.02 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Will Tencent have the best AI model on October 31?No | buy | 21 | $0.999 | $20.98 | Oct 11, 2025 |