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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?Yes | buy | 12.41 | $0.806 | $10 | May 25, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 123.41 |
| $0.041 |
| $5 |
| May 16, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes | buy | 61.01 | $0.820 | $50 | May 15, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 89.33 | $0.750 | $67 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | sell | 64.1 | $0.969 | $62.11 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 64.1 | $0.780 | $50 | Apr 19, 2026 |