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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?No | buy | 5.07 | $0.987 | $5 | May 20, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 5.01 |
| $0.999 |
| $5 |
| May 20, 2026 |
 Will Analog Devices (ADI) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 5.03 | $0.994 | $5 | May 20, 2026 |
 Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?No | buy | 5.06 | $0.988 | $5 | May 20, 2026 |
 Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 10?No | buy | 5.02 | $0.997 | $5 | May 9, 2026 |
 Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | buy | 5.01 | $0.998 | $5 | May 9, 2026 |
 Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | May 9, 2026 |
 Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | May 9, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?No | sell | 5.01 | $0.994 | $4.98 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Will Stripe have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?No | sell | 5.03 | $0.993 | $4.99 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike 13 countries in 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.998 | $4.99 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Will Dinorah Figuera be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.996 | $4.98 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will Google Gemini score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Yes | sell | 5.01 | $0.904 | $4.53 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will 40-44 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.998 | $5 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on March 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.02 | $0.997 | $5 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Will fewer than 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Italy?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.998 | $5 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike 13 countries in 2026?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.02 | $0.997 | $5 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?No | buy | 5.02 | $0.996 | $5 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 5.02 | $0.997 | $5 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Will Apple announce the iPhone 17e by February 28?No | buy | 5.03 | $0.994 | $5 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Will Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 27?No | buy | 5.02 | $0.997 | $5 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Will Google Gemini score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Yes | buy | 5.02 | $0.996 | $5 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike Gaza on February 21, 2026?No | buy | 5.02 | $0.996 | $5 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.998 | $5 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Will "NUEVAYoL - Bad Bunny" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.998 | $5 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 Will "GOAT" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 17m?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 Will "Wuthering Heights" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 43m and 47m?No | buy | 5.03 | $0.995 | $5 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Will Stripe have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?No | buy | 5.03 | $0.994 | $5 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 Will Claude 5 be released on February 14, 2026?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 Will Super J8 Synth + AUv3 be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on February 20?No | buy | 5.06 | $0.989 | $5 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?No | buy | 5.03 | $0.994 | $5 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 500k?Yes | sell | 10.09 | $0.986 | $9.95 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on February 7, 2026?No | buy | 10.01 | $0.999 | $10 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 500k?Yes | buy | 10.09 | $0.991 | $10 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 52% and 54%?No | buy | 10.02 | $0.998 | $10 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 7, 2026?No | buy | 10.01 | $0.999 | $10 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to 10–15 years in prison?No | sell | 5.01 | $0.993 | $4.97 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.998 | $5 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will FA win the second most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 US strike on Mexico by January 31?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.07 | $0.986 | $5 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to 10–15 years in prison?No | buy | 5.02 | $0.997 | $5 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on February 1, 2026?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 2, 2026?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.998 | $5 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Will Dinorah Figuera be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will no listed leader be out before 2027?No | buy | 5.02 | $0.997 | $5 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?No | buy | 5.02 | $0.996 | $5 | Feb 3, 2026 |