Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.350 | $175 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 500 |
| $0.993 |
| $496.28 |
| Jan 3, 2026 |
 Xi Jinping out in 2025?Yes | sell | 714.28 | $0.036 | $25.71 | Oct 24, 2025 |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025?Yes | buy | 714.29 | $0.070 | $50 | Oct 22, 2025 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by October 31?No | sell | 1 | $0.991 | $0.99 | Oct 22, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.910 | $455 | Oct 18, 2025 |
 Will Sanae Takaichi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.974 | $487 | Oct 18, 2025 |
 Will Abigail Spanberger win the Virginia Governor Election in 2025Yes | buy | 63.47 | $0.931 | $59.09 | Oct 18, 2025 |
 Will Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025?Yes | buy | 89.56 | $0.958 | $85.8 | Oct 18, 2025 |
 Democratic sweep?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.740 | $740 | Oct 1, 2025 |
 Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.140 | $140 | Oct 1, 2025 |
| Will the federal government be shut down for 4–9 days in 2025?No | buy | 583.52 | $0.590 | $344.28 | Oct 1, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: Military EditionYes | buy | 1K | $0.770 | $770 | Oct 1, 2025 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?No | buy | 10.13 | $0.940 | $9.52 | Oct 1, 2025 |
 Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025Yes | buy | 600 | $0.810 | $486 | Oct 1, 2025 |
 Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | sell | 1.76K | $0.998 | $1.75K | Oct 1, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30?No | buy | 547.52 | $0.965 | $528.36 | Sep 22, 2025 |
 Maduro out in 2025?No | buy | 560 | $0.880 | $492.8 | Sep 22, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in September?No | buy | 10 | $0.940 | $9.4 | Sep 1, 2025 |
 Will Curtis Sliwa win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | buy | 527.11 | $0.830 | $437.5 | Sep 1, 2025 |
 Will Andrew Cuomo drop out?No | buy | 500 | $0.910 | $455 | Sep 1, 2025 |
| Will Geert Wilders become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?No | buy | 500 | $0.910 | $455 | Sep 1, 2025 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 57 | $0.320 | $18.24 | Sep 1, 2025 |
 California redistricting referendum passes?Yes | buy | 498.22 | $0.860 | $428.47 | Sep 1, 2025 |
| Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025Yes | buy | 500 | $0.900 | $450 | Sep 1, 2025 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by October 31?No | buy | 500 | $0.940 | $470 | Aug 3, 2025 |
 Will Mary Sheffield win the 2025 Detroit mayoral election?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.920 | $460 | Aug 3, 2025 |
 Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?No | buy | 800 | $0.760 | $608 | Aug 3, 2025 |
 Trump x Elon talk by August 31?No | buy | 574.56 | $0.930 | $534.34 | Aug 3, 2025 |
 Will Jack Ciattarelli win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025No | buy | 253.85 | $0.900 | $228.47 | Aug 3, 2025 |
| US government shutdown in 2025?Yes | buy | 127.28 | $0.380 | $48.37 | Aug 3, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.710 | $710 | Aug 3, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 700 | $0.950 | $665 | Jul 27, 2025 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?No | buy | 500 | $0.800 | $400 | Jul 19, 2025 |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by August 31?No | buy | 1K | $0.960 | $960 | Jul 19, 2025 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal before September?No | buy | 54.86 | $0.930 | $51.02 | Jul 19, 2025 |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | sell | 1.5K | $0.910 | $1.37K | Jul 19, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2025?No | buy | 61.2 | $0.340 | $20.81 | Jul 13, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be greater than 13% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?No | sell | 1K | $0.880 | $880 | Jul 13, 2025 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?No | buy | 500 | $0.750 | $375 | Jul 13, 2025 |
 Will Iranian officials visit the White House before August?No | buy | 49.41 | $0.982 | $48.52 | Jul 13, 2025 |
 Braves vs. NationalsNationals | buy | 83.47 | $0.380 | $31.72 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 Fever vs LynxLynx | buy | 11 | $0.740 | $8.14 | Jul 1, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 11% and 12% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?Yes | buy | 48.77 | $0.040 | $1.95 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 5kt meteor strike in 2025?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.310 | $155 | Jul 1, 2025 |
| Orioles vs. RangersOrioles | sell | 700 | $0.370 | $259 | Jul 1, 2025 |
| Orioles vs. RangersOrioles | buy | 700 | $0.380 | $266 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 Will a club from England win the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?No | buy | 949.7 | $0.850 | $807.25 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 812.12 | $0.712 | $578.23 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?No | sell | 999.99 | $0.985 | $984.99 | Jul 1, 2025 |