Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 10 | $0.300 | $2.37 | -$0.64 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?No | buy | 154.29 | $0.007 | $1.08 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 |
| Yes |
| 2.78 |
| $0.360 |
| $1.39 |
| +$0.39 |
 AI bubble burst in 2026? | Yes | 13.16 | $0.380 | $1.39 | -$3.61 |
 Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1.3 | +$0.3 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 14.29 | $0.210 | $1.08 | -$1.92 |
| sell |
| 3 |
| $0.091 |
| $0.27 |
| Dec 4, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $165–170 in 2025?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Nov 25, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $175–180 in 2025?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Nov 25, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $160–165 in 2025?Yes | buy | 15.38 | $0.065 | $1 | Nov 25, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $170–175 in 2025?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Nov 25, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $170–175 in 2025?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Nov 25, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $200–205 in 2025?No | buy | 3.61 | $0.830 | $3 | Nov 25, 2025 |
| AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.160 | $5 | Nov 25, 2025 |
| AI bubble burst in 2026?Yes | buy | 13.16 | $0.380 | $5 | Nov 25, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 10.64 | $0.094 | $1 | Nov 23, 2025 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.300 | $3 | Nov 23, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.06 | $0.330 | $2 | Nov 22, 2025 |
| Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?No | buy | 17.3 | $0.289 | $5 | Nov 21, 2025 |
 Will Paramount acquire Warner Bros. Discovery?Yes | buy | 4.92 | $0.610 | $3 | Nov 20, 2025 |
 Will Jamie Dimon be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.380 | $2 | Nov 20, 2025 |
 Will Quentin Tarantino be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes | buy | 1.72 | $0.580 | $1 | Nov 20, 2025 |
 Will Stephen Hawking be named in newly released Epstein files?No | buy | 1.52 | $0.660 | $1 | Nov 20, 2025 |
 Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 6.45 | $0.310 | $2 | Nov 20, 2025 |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 3.08 | $0.650 | $2 | Nov 20, 2025 |
 Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 19?Yes | sell | 1.33 | $0.080 | $0.11 | Nov 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 20?Yes | sell | 5.55 | $0.610 | $3.39 | Nov 20, 2025 |
 Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?No | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | Nov 19, 2025 |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 30?Yes | sell | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Nov 19, 2025 |
| Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 20?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | Nov 19, 2025 |
| Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 19?Yes | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | Nov 19, 2025 |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 30?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.420 | $2 | Nov 19, 2025 |
 Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Nov 19, 2025 |
 Will Yann LeCun leave Meta this year?Yes | sell | 2.81 | $0.650 | $1.83 | Nov 17, 2025 |
 Will Glen Powell say "Taylor" or "Swift" during Saturday Night Live on November 15?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Nov 15, 2025 |
| Will Glen Powell say "ICE" during Saturday Night Live on November 15?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Nov 14, 2025 |
 House passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?No | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Nov 13, 2025 |
| Will Conrad Kramer leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.78 | $0.360 | $1 | Nov 13, 2025 |
| Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Nov 13, 2025 |
 Will Trump create a tariff dividend by March 31?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Nov 13, 2025 |
| Will Yann LeCun leave Meta this year?Yes | buy | 2.82 | $0.710 | $2 | Nov 12, 2025 |
 Will the government shutdown end November 15?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.018 | $1 | Nov 11, 2025 |
| Will the government shutdown end November 14?Yes | buy | 30.3 | $0.033 | $1 | Nov 11, 2025 |
| Will the government shutdown end November 13?Yes | buy | 8.57 | $0.350 | $3 | Nov 11, 2025 |
| Will the government shutdown end November 12?Yes | buy | 5.08 | $0.590 | $3 | Nov 11, 2025 |
 U.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown?Yes | sell | 6.66 | $0.040 | $0.27 | Nov 11, 2025 |
 Will Katie Wilson win the 2025 Seattle mayoral election?Yes | sell | 10.39 | $0.952 | $9.89 | Nov 11, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?Yes | sell | 12.54 | $0.952 | $11.94 | Nov 11, 2025 |
| Will Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Nov 10, 2025 |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?Yes | buy | 10.64 | $0.094 | $1 | Nov 10, 2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?Yes | buy | 34.48 | $0.290 | $10 | Nov 10, 2025 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.210 | $3 | Nov 8, 2025 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.300 | $3 | Nov 8, 2025 |
| U.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.300 | $2 | Nov 8, 2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?Yes | buy | 3.62 | $0.552 | $2 | Nov 8, 2025 |