Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | No | 32.26 | $0.620 | $22.58 | +$2.58 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 ECB rate hike in 2026?No | buy | 482.3 | $0.008 | $4 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 19.57 |
| $0.720 |
| $14.09 |
| Apr 30, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 29.85 | $0.670 | $20 | Apr 30, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.080 | $20 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 44.78 | $0.670 | $30 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| ECB rate hike in 2026?No | buy | 217.54 | $0.092 | $20 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| ECB rate hike in 2026?No | buy | 42.17 | $0.237 | $10 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| ECB rate hike in 2026?No | buy | 100.13 | $0.305 | $30.54 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 29.41 | $0.340 | $10 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | buy | 95.4 | $0.052 | $5 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | buy | 238.1 | $0.021 | $5 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 402.73 | $0.006 | $2.42 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 179.21 | $0.028 | $5 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 79.37 | $0.063 | $5 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by May 31?No | buy | 21.74 | $0.230 | $5 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.120 | $5 | Mar 28, 2026 |
 Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.240 | $10 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.250 | $10 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.160 | $10 | Mar 23, 2026 |
 Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 98.04 | $0.051 | $5 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.090 | $10 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No | buy | 32.26 | $0.620 | $20 | Feb 13, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?No | buy | 184.25 | $0.109 | $20 | Feb 13, 2026 |
 Will Elon and DOGE cut less than $50b in federal spending in 2025?No | buy | 476.19 | $0.042 | $20 | Feb 13, 2026 |
 Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?No | sell | 25.31 | $0.940 | $23.79 | Feb 12, 2026 |
 Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 60.61 | $0.330 | $20 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Starmer out by February 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 80.09 | $0.220 | $17.64 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Starmer out by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 80.09 | $0.250 | $20 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 67.26 | $0.595 | $40 | Feb 6, 2026 |
 Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 13?No | buy | 174.22 | $0.115 | $20 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Australian Open Men's: Novak Djokovic vs Jannik SinnerDjokovic | sell | 150 | $0.174 | $26.1 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Australian Open Men's: Novak Djokovic vs Jannik SinnerDjokovic | buy | 300 | $0.050 | $15 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.360 | $20 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 268.44 | $0.037 | $10 | Jan 18, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | buy | 169.49 | $0.059 | $10 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?No | buy | 25.32 | $0.790 | $20 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.250 | $20 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Maduro mugshot released by January 9?Yes | buy | 58.07 | $0.290 | $16.84 | Jan 5, 2026 |
 Another US strike on Venezuela by January 17?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | buy | 222.22 | $0.090 | $20 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?No | buy | 689.66 | $0.029 | $20 | Dec 21, 2025 |