Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 14.35 | $0.340 | $7.68 | +$2.8 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?Yes | buy | 5.3 | $0.920 | $4.88 | 14m ago |
|
| Yes |
| 5.42 |
| $0.900 |
| $5.12 |
| +$0.24 |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23? | Yes | 5.3 | $0.920 | $4.93 | +$0.05 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | Yes | 5.95 | $0.820 | $0.74 | -$4.14 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | Yes | 6.97 | $0.700 | $0.52 | -$4.36 |
| buy |
| 5.42 |
| $0.900 |
| $4.88 |
| 2d ago |
 Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.08 | $0.960 | $4.88 | 8d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through October 31?No | sell | 5.87 | $0.997 | $5.85 | 10d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?No | sell | 6.5 | $0.990 | $6.44 | 10d ago |
| US ceasefire against Iran continues through October 31?No | sell | 0.72 | $0.960 | $0.69 | 10d ago |
| US ceasefire against Iran continues through October 31?No | buy | 6.59 | $0.740 | $4.88 | 10d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?No | buy | 5.61 | $0.870 | $4.88 | 10d ago |
| US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?No | buy | 6.51 | $0.750 | $4.88 | 10d ago |
 Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" in 2026?Yes | buy | 5.25 | $0.930 | $4.88 | 12d ago |
 Will Marvell Tech (MRVL) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 4.93 | $0.990 | $4.88 | 13d ago |
 Will Anthropic have the highest private market valuation on August 31?Yes | buy | 5.08 | $0.961 | $4.88 | 23d ago |
 Counter-Strike: Just Players vs ENCE (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group AJust Players | buy | 9.21 | $0.530 | $4.88 | 26d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 14.35 | $0.340 | $4.88 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Akamai Techs (AKAM) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 4.88 | $0.999 | $4.88 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | sell | 5.67 | $0.890 | $5.05 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 29, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.18 | $0.790 | $4.88 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Will Google (GOOGL) Q2 Search & other revenue be above $62B?Yes | buy | 4.96 | $0.983 | $4.88 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will Google (GOOGL) Q2 YouTube ads revenue be above $10.4B?Yes | buy | 4.93 | $0.989 | $4.88 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will Google (GOOGL) Q2 Cloud Revenue be above $24B?Yes | buy | 4.93 | $0.990 | $4.88 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will Google (GOOGL) Q2 Cloud Revenue be above $22.5B?Yes | buy | 4.93 | $0.990 | $4.88 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will Google (GOOGL) Q2 capital expenditures be above $40B?Yes | buy | 4.93 | $0.990 | $4.88 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Will Trump's approval rating be between 39.5 and 39.9 on July 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.98 | $0.980 | $4.88 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q2 da Vinci procedure growth 12.5%-15%?No | buy | 4.93 | $0.990 | $4.88 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will Morgan Stanley (MS) Q2 investment banking revenue be above $2.0B?Yes | buy | 5.24 | $0.931 | $4.88 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 6.17 | $0.710 | $4.38 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 5.16 | $0.982 | $5.07 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.17 | $0.944 | $4.88 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.18 | $0.790 | $4.88 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?Yes | sell | 5.08 | $0.998 | $5.07 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?Yes | sell | 6.51 | $0.973 | $6.33 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.60 and $2.90 on June 30, 2026?No | sell | 4.92 | $0.995 | $4.9 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No | sell | 5.6 | $0.900 | $5.04 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 5.3 | $0.999 | $5.29 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.60 and $2.90 on June 30, 2026?No | buy | 4.93 | $0.990 | $4.88 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $4.00 and $5.00 on June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.98 | $0.980 | $4.88 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.30 and $2.60 on June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.03 | $0.970 | $4.88 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce no change at the June meeting?No | buy | 5.42 | $0.900 | $4.88 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Yes | sell | 7.28 | $0.228 | $1.66 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Yes | buy | 7.28 | $0.670 | $4.88 | Jun 28, 2026 |
 Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q2 2026No | buy | 5.87 | $0.832 | $4.88 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.3 | $0.920 | $4.88 | Jun 27, 2026 |
 Iran successfully targets shipping by July 15?Yes | buy | 5.48 | $0.890 | $4.88 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q2 2026No | sell | 5.38 | $0.944 | $5.08 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?Yes | buy | 5.08 | $0.960 | $4.88 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will Tesla deliver between 400000 and 425000 vehicles in Q2 2026No | buy | 6.18 | $0.671 | $4.15 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026No | buy | 5.38 | $0.907 | $4.88 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q2 2026No | buy | 5.38 | $0.907 | $4.88 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | buy | 5.67 | $0.860 | $4.88 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 5.42 | $0.900 | $4.88 | Jun 20, 2026 |