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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026? | No | 14.29 | $0.630 | $12.43 | +$3.43 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 14.29 | $0.630 | $9 | 8d ago |
 |
| No |
| 31.51 |
| $0.349 |
| $9.45 |
| -$1.55 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 9.09 | $0.440 | $4.05 | +$0.05 |
 Iran full airspace closure by September 30? | Yes | 24.18 | $0.110 | $2.54 | -$0.12 |
 Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | Yes | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1.63 | +$0.63 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | No | 11.51 | $0.174 | $1.44 | -$0.56 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes | 6.21 | $0.290 | $1.21 | -$0.59 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.82 | $0.550 | $1.17 | +$0.17 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027? | No | 2.63 | $0.380 | $1.17 | +$0.17 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | No | 4 | $0.250 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
 Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 1.82 | $0.550 | $0.79 | -$0.21 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | Yes | 9.09 | $0.110 | $0.68 | -$0.32 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | Yes | 34.48 | $0.029 | $0.6 | -$0.4 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15? | Yes | 111.11 | $0.009 | $0.39 | -$0.61 |
 Will Xi Jinping visit US by October 31? | No | 10 | $0.100 | $0.23 | -$0.78 |
| sell |
| 25.13 |
| $0.357 |
| $8.97 |
| 8d ago |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No | buy | 25.14 | $0.358 | $9 | 8d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?No | buy | 28.57 | $0.350 | $10 | 8d ago |
| Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s US Open?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | 8d ago |
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes | buy | 1.82 | $0.550 | $1 | 8d ago |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US by October 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | 8d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?No | buy | 2.94 | $0.340 | $1 | 8d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?No | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | 8d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | 8d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 6.21 | $0.290 | $1.8 | 8d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.440 | $2 | 8d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.440 | $2 | 8d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | 8d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Yes | buy | 34.48 | $0.029 | $1 | 8d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.009 | $1 | 8d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | 8d ago |
| Iran full airspace closure by September 30?Yes | buy | 24.18 | $0.110 | $2.66 | 8d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?No | buy | 2.63 | $0.380 | $1 | 11d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.82 | $0.550 | $1 | 11d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?No | buy | 38.46 | $0.026 | $1 | 11d ago |