Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 210 | $0.170 | $0.53 | -$35.18 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Pacifica launch a token by June 30 2026?No | sell | 298 | $0.830 | $247.34 | Mar 11, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 298 |
| $0.780 |
| $232.44 |
| Feb 14, 2026 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?No | sell | 260 | $0.820 | $213.2 | Feb 13, 2026 |
 Will Theo launch a token by March 31 2026?Yes | buy | 160 | $0.160 | $25.6 | Feb 7, 2026 |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 199.7 | $0.250 | $49.93 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?No | buy | 260 | $0.860 | $223.6 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | sell | 260 | $0.750 | $195 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | buy | 260 | $0.720 | $187.2 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | sell | 298 | $0.730 | $217.54 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 298 | $0.720 | $214.56 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 315 | $0.675 | $212.61 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 315 | $0.710 | $223.65 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 77 | $0.630 | $48.51 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 239 | $0.630 | $150.57 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 210 | $0.170 | $35.7 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by April 30?Yes | sell | 85 | $0.730 | $62.05 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 316 | $0.700 | $221.2 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30?Yes | buy | 85 | $0.750 | $63.75 | Jan 18, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?No | sell | 491.5 | $0.450 | $221.18 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 491.5 | $0.660 | $324.39 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 199.7 | $0.230 | $45.93 | Jan 2, 2026 |
 Another crypto hack over $100m in 2025?No | buy | 100 | $0.960 | $96 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?No | buy | 112 | $0.904 | $101.28 | Nov 18, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.820 | $57.4 | Nov 18, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.926 | $92.6 | Nov 18, 2025 |
 Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.020 | $2 | Nov 18, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end by December 31?Yes | buy | 188.27 | $0.956 | $180 | Nov 3, 2025 |
 Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during October press conference?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.983 | $98.3 | Oct 22, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during October press conference?Yes | buy | 17.6 | $0.983 | $17.3 | Oct 22, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end by October 24?No | buy | 93.91 | $0.986 | $92.6 | Oct 22, 2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end by October 24?No | buy | 75.04 | $0.986 | $73.99 | Oct 22, 2025 |
 Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 15?No | buy | 183.16 | $0.950 | $174 | Oct 9, 2025 |