Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | Yes | 6.67 | $0.300 | $3.3 | +$1.3 |
 S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 9? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will annual inflation be 3.3% in August?No | buy | 2.9 | $0.690 | $2 | 46m ago |
|
| Down |
| 2.56 |
| $0.780 |
| $2.56 |
| +$0.56 |
 Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | No | 2.63 | $0.760 | $2.41 | +$0.41 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026? | Yes | 4.55 | $0.440 | $2.25 | +$0.25 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 4.65 | $0.430 | $2.16 | +$0.16 |
| Will annual inflation be 3.3% in August? | No | 2.9 | $0.690 | $2.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will annual inflation be 3.4% in August? | Yes | 4.26 | $0.470 | $1.98 | -$0.02 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 3.85 | $0.520 | $1.83 | -$0.17 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | No | 3.92 | $0.510 | $1.65 | -$0.35 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | No | 2.56 | $0.780 | $1.53 | -$0.47 |
| buy |
| 2.56 |
| $0.780 |
| $2 |
| 8h ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.6 | $0.770 | $2 | 18h ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.440 | $2 | 1d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?No | buy | 2.63 | $0.760 | $2 | 1d ago |
 Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $117.50 Week of September 7 2026?Yes | buy | 3.64 | $0.550 | $2 | 1d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?No | buy | 2.56 | $0.780 | $2 | 2d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?No | buy | 2.79 | $0.716 | $2 | 2d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 3 to September 5, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.63 | $0.460 | $1.67 | 5d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 3.85 | $0.520 | $2 | 6d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.300 | $2 | 6d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?No | buy | 3.92 | $0.510 | $2 | 7d ago |
| Will annual inflation be 3.4% in August?Yes | buy | 4.26 | $0.470 | $2 | 7d ago |
 Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 Week of August 31 2026?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.500 | $2 | 7d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 31 to September 2, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.560 | $2 | 8d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 4.65 | $0.430 | $2 | 8d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?No | buy | 2.56 | $0.780 | $2 | 10d ago |
 Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 2, 2026?No | buy | 4.35 | $0.460 | $2 | 10d ago |
 Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 55.0 and 55.9 in August?No | buy | 2.67 | $0.750 | $2 | 13d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 27 to August 29, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.65 | $0.430 | $2 | 14d ago |
 Will Claude go down 8-10 times in August?No | buy | 5 | $0.400 | $2 | 19d ago |
| Will Core PCE YoY be 3.2% in July?No | buy | 2.5 | $0.800 | $2 | 19d ago |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?No | buy | 2.53 | $0.790 | $2 | 20d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?No | buy | 3.64 | $0.550 | $2 | 21d ago |
 Will USD be between 1.9M and 2.0M Iranian rials on August 31?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.340 | $2 | 21d ago |
 Will there be 3 or more North Korea tests in August 2026?Yes | buy | 3.77 | $0.530 | $2 | 22d ago |
 Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $168 Week of August 17 2026?Yes | buy | 2.6 | $0.770 | $2 | 22d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.250 | $2 | 23d ago |
| Will Core PCE YoY be 3.3% in July?Yes | buy | 2.99 | $0.670 | $2 | 23d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?No | buy | 2.74 | $0.730 | $2 | 24d ago |
 Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from August 18 to August 25, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.320 | $2 | 24d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?No | buy | 2.63 | $0.760 | $2 | 25d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.06 | $0.330 | $2 | 25d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?No | buy | 4.08 | $0.490 | $2 | 26d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.52 | $0.210 | $2 | 26d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?No | buy | 2.56 | $0.780 | $2 | 26d ago |
 Will White House post 200+ posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.67 | $0.750 | $2 | 27d ago |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 13?Up | buy | 2.86 | $0.700 | $2 | 27d ago |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.52 | $0.210 | $2 | 27d ago |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.240 | $2 | 28d ago |
 Will Trump say "Transgender" during remarks in New York?Yes | buy | 2.5 | $0.800 | $2 | 28d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 10 to August 12, 2026?No | buy | 8.33 | $0.240 | $2 | 28d ago |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in July?No | buy | 2.82 | $0.708 | $2 | 29d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.220 | $2 | 29d ago |
| Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.08 | $0.490 | $2 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.52 | $0.210 | $2 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.560 | $2 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July?Yes | buy | 3.65 | $0.548 | $2 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 6?Up | buy | 3.17 | $0.630 | $2 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?No | buy | 3.77 | $0.530 | $2 | Aug 5, 2026 |