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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | No | 17.24 | $0.174 | $2.55 | -$0.45 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Jul 6, 2026 |
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| Yes |
| 71.51 |
| $0.084 |
| $2.11 |
| -$3.89 |
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 272.73 | $0.011 | $1.77 | -$1.23 |
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 18.99 | $0.158 | $1.66 | -$1.34 |
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 34.48 | $0.029 | $1.52 | +$0.52 |
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 76.92 | $0.013 | $1.42 | +$0.42 |
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.100 | $1.3 | -$0.7 |
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 66.67 | $0.015 | $1.23 | +$0.23 |
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 50 | $0.020 | $1.18 | +$0.18 |
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 27.78 | $0.036 | $1.12 | +$0.12 |
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | Yes | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1.08 | +$0.08 |
Will Alberta join the US? | Yes | 47.62 | $0.021 | $0.98 | -$0.02 |
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | Yes | 13.33 | $0.150 | $0.87 | -$1.13 |
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? | Yes | 35.71 | $0.028 | $0.73 | -$0.27 |
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 3.89 | $0.257 | $0.72 | -$0.28 |
Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026? | Yes | 16.67 | $0.060 | $0.71 | -$0.29 |
SBF released from custody in 2026? | Yes | 24.39 | $0.041 | $0.61 | -$0.39 |
Russia coup attempt in 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.100 | $0.55 | -$0.45 |
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026? | No | 7.14 | $0.140 | $0.46 | -$0.54 |
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 250 | $0.008 | $0.38 | -$1.62 |
Iran leadership change by September 30? | Yes | 11.11 | $0.090 | $0.26 | -$0.74 |
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 6.71 | $0.149 | $0.24 | -$0.76 |
Will there be no de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026? | Yes | 11.63 | $0.086 | $0.07 | -$0.93 |
| buy |
| 27.78 |
| $0.036 |
| $1 |
| Jul 6, 2026 |
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.028 | $1 | Jul 6, 2026 |
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 6.71 | $0.149 | $1 | Jul 6, 2026 |
SBF released from custody in 2026?Yes | buy | 24.39 | $0.041 | $1 | Jul 6, 2026 |
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.020 | $1 | Jul 6, 2026 |
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 3.89 | $0.257 | $1 | Jul 6, 2026 |
Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Jul 6, 2026 |
Will Alberta join the US?Yes | buy | 47.62 | $0.021 | $1 | Jul 6, 2026 |
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.024 | $1 | Jul 6, 2026 |
Russia coup attempt in 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Jul 6, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Jul 6, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump attend NATO Summit?No | buy | 119.64 | $0.008 | $1 | Jul 6, 2026 |
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Jul 6, 2026 |
Iran leadership change by September 30?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Jul 6, 2026 |
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 18.52 | $0.054 | $1 | Jul 6, 2026 |
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.100 | $2 | Jul 6, 2026 |
Will there be no de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?Yes | buy | 11.63 | $0.086 | $1 | Jul 6, 2026 |
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?No | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Jul 6, 2026 |
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 34.48 | $0.029 | $1 | Jul 6, 2026 |
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 17.24 | $0.174 | $3 | Jul 6, 2026 |
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?Yes | buy | 34.01 | $0.088 | $3 | Jul 6, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.015 | $1 | Jul 6, 2026 |
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.013 | $1 | Jul 6, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.008 | $2 | Jul 6, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 272.73 | $0.011 | $3 | Jul 6, 2026 |
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 18.99 | $0.158 | $3 | Jul 6, 2026 |
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?Yes | buy | 37.5 | $0.080 | $3 | Jul 6, 2026 |