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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | Yes | 5.56 | $0.180 | $4.22 | +$3.22 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 12.2 | $0.082 | $1 | Jan 5, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 5.52 |
| $0.181 |
| $2.53 |
| +$1.53 |
 Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | Yes | 6.67 | $0.150 | $0.5 | -$0.5 |
 U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Brazil" before 2027? | Yes | 3.85 | $0.260 | $0.3 | -$0.7 |
 Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 5.88 | $0.170 | $0 | -$1 |
| sell |
| 1.85 |
| $0.540 |
| $1 |
| Jan 5, 2026 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 2.04 | $0.550 | $1.12 | Jan 5, 2026 |
 Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Dec 26, 2025 |
| Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Dec 26, 2025 |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Brazil" before 2027?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | Dec 26, 2025 |
 Will Kristi Noem be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Yes | buy | 5.43 | $0.184 | $1 | Dec 26, 2025 |
| Will Pam Bondi be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Yes | buy | 3.77 | $0.265 | $1 | Dec 26, 2025 |
 Maduro out by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.140 | $1.12 | Dec 26, 2025 |
 GPT ads by March 31?Yes | sell | 5.26 | $0.320 | $1.68 | Dec 26, 2025 |
 Will Sean Combs be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes | sell | 4.54 | $0.360 | $1.63 | Dec 26, 2025 |
 US recession in 2025?Yes | sell | 167 | $0.005 | $0.84 | Dec 26, 2025 |
 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 487 | $0.004 | $1.95 | Dec 25, 2025 |
| Maduro out in 2025?Yes | sell | 37.03 | $0.029 | $1.07 | Dec 25, 2025 |
| GPT ads by March 31?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Dec 25, 2025 |
 Will there be at least 2100 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Dec 25, 2025 |
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | Dec 25, 2025 |
| Maduro out in 2025?Yes | buy | 37.04 | $0.027 | $1 | Dec 25, 2025 |
| Maduro out by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.140 | $1.12 | Dec 25, 2025 |
| US recession in 2025?Yes | buy | 167 | $0.006 | $1 | Dec 25, 2025 |
 Will Spotify's top song on Christmas be 'All I Want For Christmas Is You'?No | buy | 4.12 | $0.243 | $1 | Dec 25, 2025 |
| Will Sean Combs be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | Dec 25, 2025 |
 Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2025?Yes | buy | 116.5 | $0.009 | $1 | Dec 25, 2025 |
| Will Spotify's top song on Christmas be 'All I Want For Christmas Is You'?No | buy | 8.47 | $0.236 | $2 | Dec 25, 2025 |
| Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Dec 25, 2025 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 5.52 | $0.181 | $1 | Dec 25, 2025 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 2.04 | $0.490 | $1 | Dec 25, 2025 |
 Will Stephen Colbert be named in newly released Epstein files?No | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Dec 25, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk be named in newly released Epstein files?No | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Dec 25, 2025 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 1.85 | $0.540 | $1 | Dec 25, 2025 |