Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 35.4K | $0.826 | $30.27K | +$1.02K |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 40K | $0.160 | $6.4K | 1d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 57.49K |
| $0.482 |
| $27.88K |
| +$177.5 |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 47.22K | $0.493 | $23.84K | +$540.99 |
 Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 892.95K | $0.013 | $23.22K | +$11.28K |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 155.44K | $0.226 | $22.54K | -$12.54K |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 38.88K | $0.473 | $20.41K | +$2.03K |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 19.57K | $0.830 | $16.92K | +$693.02 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 80.61K | $0.321 | $13.3K | -$12.56K |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 155.24K | $0.110 | $10.09K | -$6.99K |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | Yes | 26.64K | $0.410 | $9.46K | -$1.47K |
 Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 106.71K | $0.051 | $6.83K | +$1.37K |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 12.8K | $0.498 | $6.08K | -$289.53 |
 Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 1.62M | $0.007 | $5.66K | -$5.08K |
 Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | No | 17.79K | $0.340 | $5.25K | -$800.52 |
 Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | No | 12.73K | $0.363 | $4.39K | -$225.61 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | No | 25.2K | $0.210 | $3.53K | -$1.76K |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 49.96K | $0.870 | $2.75K | -$40.72K |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | Yes | 2.33K | $0.730 | $2.24K | +$532.88 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 74.4K | $0.014 | $558 | -$501.18 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | Yes | 12.16K | $0.089 | $407.19 | -$672.18 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 464.32 | $0.831 | $394.67 | +$8.82 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 12.92K | $0.234 | $109.8 | -$2.92K |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | No | 381.52 | $0.250 | $93.47 | -$1.91 |
 Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 55.92 | $0.410 | $19.85 | -$3.08 |
 Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 8.45 | $0.626 | $8.44 | +$3.15 |
| buy |
| 2.33K |
| $0.730 |
| $1.7K |
| 3d ago |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.04K | $0.040 | $441.01 | 14d ago |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 43.91K | $0.490 | $21.51K | 16d ago |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 10.2K | $0.060 | $611.81 | 29d ago |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 173.8 | $0.210 | $36.5 | 29d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.34K | $0.170 | $908.01 | 29d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 12.91K | $0.080 | $1.03K | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 14.47K | $0.016 | $231.59 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 9.72K | $0.460 | $4.47K | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 9.5K | $0.015 | $141.36 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 4.86K | $0.470 | $2.28K | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 363.07 | $0.490 | $177.9 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 9K | $0.015 | $138.69 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 4.12K | $0.470 | $1.94K | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 7.9K | $0.014 | $111.86 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 4.86K | $0.470 | $2.28K | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 9.6K | $0.013 | $124.8 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 4.86K | $0.480 | $2.33K | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 10.2K | $0.013 | $132.6 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 9.2K | $0.013 | $119.6 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 4.86K | $0.490 | $2.38K | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?No | buy | 23.42K | $0.014 | $337.29 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 59.63K | $0.954 | $56.91K | Aug 2, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 1.99K | $0.450 | $897.09 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 12.7K | $0.920 | $11.69K | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?No | buy | 6.83K | $0.310 | $2.12K | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 25.35K | $0.710 | $18K | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?Yes | buy | 10.16K | $0.045 | $456.75 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 46.25K | $0.053 | $2.45K | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?No | buy | 1.27K | $0.500 | $636 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 21.18K | $0.290 | $6.14K | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Yes | buy | 12.43K | $0.249 | $3.1K | Jul 24, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | sell | 969.79 | $0.850 | $824.32 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Will Dow say "Carbon" 5+ times during earnings call?Yes | buy | 117 | $0.171 | $19.99 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?No | buy | 861.18 | $0.950 | $818.12 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?No | buy | 12.34K | $0.950 | $11.72K | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?Yes | buy | 22.19K | $0.680 | $15.09K | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 276.77 | $0.290 | $80.26 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?Yes | buy | 13.58K | $0.077 | $1.05K | Jul 23, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?No | buy | 8.61K | $0.962 | $8.28K | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 24?No | buy | 2.37K | $0.870 | $2.06K | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 24?No | buy | 20 | $0.840 | $16.8 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?No | buy | 13.92K | $0.930 | $12.95K | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Will Chris Moneymaker cash in the WSOP 2026 Main Event?No | buy | 50 | $0.940 | $47 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will Chris Moneymaker cash in the WSOP 2026 Main Event?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.990 | $4.95 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 32.07K | $0.110 | $3.53K | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 5.36K | $0.110 | $589.35 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 568.87 | $0.110 | $62.58 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 117.11K | $0.110 | $12.88K | Jul 21, 2026 |