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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.037 | $1.11 | Oct 1, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 7 |
| $0.380 |
| $2.66 |
| Oct 1, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end October 10-14?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.220 | $1.1 | Oct 1, 2025 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $106,000 on September 20?Yes | buy | 26 | $0.039 | $1.01 | Sep 14, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $108,000 and $110,000 on September 18?Yes | buy | 21 | $0.048 | $1.01 | Sep 14, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $116,000 and $118,000 on September 15?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.340 | $3.4 | Sep 14, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $116,000 and $118,000 on September 15?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.380 | $3.8 | Sep 14, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $106,000 and $108,000 on September 15?Yes | buy | 26 | $0.049 | $1.27 | Sep 11, 2025 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be between $4,300 and $4,400 on September 13?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.210 | $1.05 | Sep 11, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $4,100 and $4,200 on September 13?Yes | buy | 13 | $0.080 | $1.04 | Sep 11, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $4,200 and $4,300 on September 13?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.140 | $1.12 | Sep 11, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $108,000 and $110,000 on September 12?Yes | buy | 34 | $0.030 | $1.02 | Sep 11, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $118,000 on September 13?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.110 | $1.1 | Sep 7, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $108K and $110K on September 10?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.160 | $1.12 | Sep 5, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $3900 and $4000 on September 5?Yes | buy | 17 | $0.063 | $1.07 | Sep 1, 2025 |
 Will anyone say "Steve Jobs" during Apple launch event on September 9?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.110 | $1.1 | Sep 1, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.130 | $1.3 | Aug 30, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.250 | $3.75 | Aug 30, 2025 |
| Ethereum above $4000 on September 5?No | buy | 10 | $0.140 | $1.4 | Aug 30, 2025 |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.170 | $1.19 | Aug 26, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $4200 and $4400 on August 29?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.130 | $1.3 | Aug 25, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Aug 22, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Aug 22, 2025 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.140 | $1.12 | Aug 20, 2025 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US?Yes | buy | 3 | $0.039 | $0.12 | Aug 20, 2025 |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US?Yes | buy | 26 | $0.039 | $1 | Aug 20, 2025 |
 Will Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Jackson Hole speech on August 22?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.070 | $1.05 | Aug 20, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $117K and $119K on August 25?Yes | buy | 9 | $0.120 | $1.08 | Aug 20, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $117K and $119K on August 25?Yes | buy | 9 | $0.120 | $1.08 | Aug 20, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $115K and $117K on August 25?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.170 | $1.02 | Aug 20, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.150 | $6 | Aug 19, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.140 | $1.4 | Aug 19, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.138 | $1.38 | Aug 19, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.138 | $2.76 | Aug 18, 2025 |
 Will Trump and Zelenskyy shake hands for less than 2 seconds?Yes | buy | 9 | $0.120 | $1.08 | Aug 18, 2025 |
 Will Trump and Zelenskyy shake hands for 10 seconds or more?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.090 | $1.08 | Aug 18, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $4500 and $4600 on August 20?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.130 | $1.3 | Aug 18, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.116 | $1.16 | Aug 18, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $4200 and $4300 on August 18?Yes | sell | 5.5 | $0.208 | $1.14 | Aug 18, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $4300 and $4400 on August 18?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.090 | $1.08 | Aug 17, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $4300 and $4400 on August 18?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.200 | $1.4 | Aug 17, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $4200 and $4300 on August 18?Yes | buy | 11 | $0.090 | $0.99 | Aug 17, 2025 |
 Will VfB Stuttgart beat Bayern Munich?Yes | buy | 13 | $0.080 | $1.04 | Aug 16, 2025 |
 Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.110 | $2.2 | Aug 16, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $4500 and $4600 on August 22?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.110 | $1.1 | Aug 16, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.125 | $1 | Aug 15, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.125 | $1 | Aug 15, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during conference with Putin on August 15?Yes | buy | 34.48 | $0.029 | $1 | Aug 15, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by September 30?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.160 | $1.6 | Aug 14, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.130 | $1.04 | Aug 14, 2025 |