Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?No | sell | 10.98K | $0.005 | $53.59 | Mar 9, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 10.98K |
| $0.018 |
| $200 |
| Mar 9, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 1.47K | $0.340 | $500 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No | sell | 2.55K | $0.190 | $485 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No | buy | 500 | $0.200 | $100 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No | buy | 1K | $0.200 | $200 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No | buy | 1.05K | $0.190 | $200 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?No | sell | 317.34 | $0.050 | $15.87 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?No | buy | 317.34 | $0.315 | $100 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.58K | $0.820 | $1.29K | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.355 | $355.39 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.67K | $0.120 | $200 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?Yes | buy | 909.09 | $0.110 | $100 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 OpenAI browser by October 31?No | sell | 41.66 | $0.090 | $3.75 | Oct 21, 2025 |
| OpenAI browser by October 31?No | buy | 41.67 | $0.240 | $10 | Oct 21, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end October 23-26?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.120 | $5 | Oct 21, 2025 |
 Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | sell | 90.9 | $0.150 | $13.64 | Oct 16, 2025 |
| OpenAI browser in 2025?Yes | sell | 53.59 | $0.674 | $36.12 | Oct 15, 2025 |
 Will elections be called before a new Prime Minister is appointed?Yes | buy | 167.46 | $0.060 | $10 | Oct 13, 2025 |
 Will Israel first announce ceasefire on October 9?Yes | buy | 102.04 | $0.049 | $5 | Oct 9, 2025 |
 U.S. Government funding lapse on October 1?No | sell | 100 | $0.001 | $0.1 | Oct 1, 2025 |
 US government shutdown by October 1?No | sell | 33.33 | $0.018 | $0.6 | Oct 1, 2025 |
 OpenAI social app in 2025?No | sell | 50 | $0.265 | $13.23 | Sep 30, 2025 |
 Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30?Yes | sell | 54.19 | $0.050 | $2.71 | Sep 29, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?Yes | buy | 43.03 | $0.581 | $25 | Sep 29, 2025 |
 TikTok sale announced in 2025?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.400 | $20 | Sep 28, 2025 |
| US government shutdown by October 1?No | buy | 33.33 | $0.300 | $10 | Sep 27, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?Yes | buy | 59.94 | $0.500 | $30 | Sep 26, 2025 |
| Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30?Yes | buy | 54.2 | $0.277 | $15 | Sep 26, 2025 |
| TikTok sale announced by September 30?No | sell | 76.92 | $0.810 | $62.31 | Sep 26, 2025 |
| TikTok sale announced by September 30?No | buy | 76.92 | $0.520 | $40 | Sep 25, 2025 |
 Will Israel strike Yemen on September 25 ET?No | buy | 368.42 | $0.095 | $35 | Sep 25, 2025 |
 Will Micron Tech (MU) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?Yes | sell | 45.97 | $0.994 | $45.69 | Sep 24, 2025 |
| U.S. Government funding lapse on October 1?No | buy | 100 | $0.300 | $30 | Sep 23, 2025 |
| Will Micron Tech (MU) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?Yes | buy | 45.98 | $0.870 | $40 | Sep 21, 2025 |
| OpenAI browser in 2025?Yes | buy | 53.6 | $0.466 | $25 | Sep 21, 2025 |
 Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?No | buy | 66.67 | $0.450 | $30 | Sep 20, 2025 |
 US civil war in 2025?Yes | buy | 689.66 | $0.029 | $20 | Sep 20, 2025 |
| TikTok sale announced in 2025?Yes | sell | 94.54 | $0.780 | $73.74 | Sep 19, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?Yes | sell | 154.81 | $0.520 | $80.5 | Sep 19, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?Yes | buy | 87.73 | $0.570 | $50 | Sep 19, 2025 |
| Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.220 | $20 | Sep 19, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.420 | $30 | Sep 16, 2025 |
| TikTok sale announced in 2025?Yes | buy | 94.55 | $0.529 | $50 | Sep 16, 2025 |
 US recession in 2025?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.120 | $15 | Sep 12, 2025 |
 Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?No | sell | 164.8 | $0.440 | $72.51 | Sep 12, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 109.89 | $0.112 | $12.31 | Sep 12, 2025 |
| Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?No | buy | 164.81 | $0.121 | $20 | Sep 11, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 109.89 | $0.091 | $10 | Sep 7, 2025 |