Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x China Military clash before 2027? | No | 21.74 | $0.920 | $20.83 | +$0.83 |
 Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the ECB announce no change at the June 2026 meeting?No | buy | 7.35 | $0.680 | $5 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 12.99 |
| $0.770 |
| $12.94 |
| +$2.94 |
 Will OpenAI announce a ring in 2026? | No | 8.79 | $0.910 | $8.13 | +$0.13 |
| Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? | No | 9.26 | $0.540 | $8.06 | +$3.06 |
| Will OpenAI announce a computer (Laptop/Desktop) in 2026? | No | 5.68 | $0.880 | $5.43 | +$0.43 |
| Will OpenAI announce a tablet in 2026? | No | 5.49 | $0.910 | $5.32 | +$0.32 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 5.48 | $0.913 | $5.27 | +$0.27 |
| Will OpenAI announce a head-mounted display in 2026? | No | 5.32 | $0.940 | $5.22 | +$0.22 |
| Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026? | No | 5.43 | $0.920 | $5.17 | +$0.17 |
| US recession by end of 2026? | Yes | 16.67 | $0.300 | $1.25 | -$3.75 |
| buy |
| 16.67 |
| $0.300 |
| $5 |
| Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?No | buy | 9.26 | $0.540 | $5 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI announce a computer (Laptop/Desktop) in 2026?No | buy | 5.68 | $0.880 | $5 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI announce a ring in 2026?No | buy | 8.79 | $0.910 | $8 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI announce a head-mounted display in 2026?No | buy | 5.32 | $0.940 | $5 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI announce a tablet in 2026?No | buy | 5.49 | $0.910 | $5 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026?No | buy | 5.43 | $0.920 | $5 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| US x China Military clash before 2027?No | buy | 21.74 | $0.920 | $20 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 5.56 | $0.900 | $5 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 5.48 | $0.913 | $5 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 6.76 | $0.740 | $5 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.024 | $1 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?Yes | buy | 12.99 | $0.770 | $10 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | buy | 4.16 | $0.961 | $4 | Mar 11, 2025 |
 Will Apple release a new product line in 2025?No | buy | 38.46 | $0.520 | $20 | Mar 11, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 17.24 | $0.290 | $5 | Mar 11, 2025 |
 Will xAI have the top AI model on March 31?Yes | buy | 8.93 | $0.560 | $5 | Mar 11, 2025 |
| US recession in 2025?Yes | buy | 12.82 | $0.390 | $5 | Mar 11, 2025 |
 Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?No | buy | 11.88 | $0.421 | $5 | Mar 11, 2025 |
 Sea/Air ceasefire in Ukraine before May?No | buy | 15.38 | $0.650 | $10 | Mar 11, 2025 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025?Yes | buy | 8.62 | $0.580 | $5 | Mar 11, 2025 |
 Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?No | buy | 6.94 | $0.720 | $5 | Mar 11, 2025 |
 Will Elon be worth $500b by Trump inauguration?No | buy | 5.85 | $0.920 | $5.38 | Jan 5, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on January 31?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.850 | $5 | Jan 5, 2025 |
 Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | buy | 22.81 | $0.570 | $13 | Dec 7, 2024 |
 Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration?No | buy | 10.64 | $0.940 | $10 | Dec 7, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | buy | 42.02 | $0.952 | $40 | Dec 7, 2024 |