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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?Yes | sell | 20.83 | $0.053 | $1.1 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 5 |
| $0.340 |
| $1.7 |
| Oct 26, 2025 |
| Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?Yes | buy | 20.83 | $0.048 | $1 | Oct 26, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?No | sell | 2.77 | $0.460 | $1.27 | Oct 26, 2025 |
 Will Israel strike Gaza on October 23?No | sell | 8 | $0.999 | $7.99 | Oct 26, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31?Yes | sell | 55.81 | $0.008 | $0.45 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by October 31?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.315 | $6.29 | Oct 23, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?No | buy | 2.78 | $0.360 | $1 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in October?Yes | buy | 106.46 | $0.939 | $100 | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on October 23?No | buy | 8 | $0.500 | $4 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Ukraine?Yes | sell | 199.5 | $0.001 | $0.2 | Oct 22, 2025 |
 Trump pause or remove 100k H-1B policy by October 31?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.070 | $0.35 | Oct 21, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end October 19-22?Yes | buy | 45 | $0.029 | $1.31 | Oct 18, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by October 31?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.180 | $3.6 | Oct 18, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: Russian Capture EditionNo | buy | 10 | $0.670 | $6.7 | Oct 18, 2025 |
 Israel strikes Gaza by October 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.248 | $2.48 | Oct 18, 2025 |
| Israel strikes Gaza by October 17?No | buy | 10 | $0.750 | $7.5 | Oct 18, 2025 |
 Will Anthony Albanese be the first leader out in 2025?Yes | buy | 25K | $0.002 | $50 | Oct 17, 2025 |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Ukraine?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Oct 17, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31?Yes | buy | 55.81 | $0.215 | $12 | Oct 17, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?No | sell | 779.99 | $0.130 | $101.4 | Oct 17, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?No | buy | 21 | $0.130 | $2.73 | Oct 17, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.180 | $5.4 | Oct 17, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Democrat" 4+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?No | buy | 5 | $0.630 | $3.15 | Oct 17, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "NATO" 3+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.750 | $3.75 | Oct 17, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Biden" 4+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.670 | $3.35 | Oct 17, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Stupid" during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.520 | $2.6 | Oct 17, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Sanction" during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.610 | $3.05 | Oct 17, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Suit" during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.250 | $1.25 | Oct 17, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Tango" during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?No | buy | 5 | $0.820 | $4.1 | Oct 17, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Eight Wars" or "Nine Wars" during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?No | buy | 5 | $0.350 | $1.75 | Oct 17, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.650 | $3.25 | Oct 17, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Mineral" during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.350 | $1.75 | Oct 17, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Jew" or "Muslim" during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?No | buy | 5 | $0.740 | $3.7 | Oct 17, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Steve" or "Witkoff" during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.680 | $3.4 | Oct 17, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Percent" 4+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.480 | $2.4 | Oct 17, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Thank you" 8+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?No | buy | 10 | $0.680 | $6.8 | Oct 17, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Patriot" or "Tomahawk" 3+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?Yes | buy | 4.68 | $0.700 | $3.28 | Oct 17, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Laggard" during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?No | buy | 10 | $0.860 | $8.6 | Oct 17, 2025 |
 Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.695 | $3.47 | Oct 13, 2025 |
 Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | buy | 10 | $0.680 | $6.8 | Oct 13, 2025 |
 Will Trump visit Egypt by October 31?No | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Oct 13, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.380 | $3.8 | Oct 13, 2025 |
 Will Party of Action and Solidarity (PAS) be part of the next Government of the Moldova?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.993 | $9.93 | Oct 12, 2025 |
 Tylenol sues Trump by October 31?Yes | sell | 13 | $0.011 | $0.14 | Oct 12, 2025 |
 Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 12?No | buy | 30 | $0.924 | $27.72 | Oct 12, 2025 |
 Will John Fetterman vote "Yea" on the next funding bill?No | buy | 5 | $0.420 | $2.1 | Oct 11, 2025 |
 US announces return to Bagram base in Afghanistan by December 31?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.090 | $1.35 | Oct 11, 2025 |
| Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 12?No | buy | 30 | $0.940 | $28.2 | Oct 11, 2025 |
| Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 13?No | buy | 5 | $0.210 | $1.05 | Oct 11, 2025 |