Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 5 | $0.170 | $1.58 | +$0.73 |
 Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 1.01 | $0.993 | $1 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 7.11 |
| $0.726 |
| $1.16 |
| -$4 |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1.06 | +$0.06 |
 Will the Democrats win the Nebraska governor race in 2026? | Yes | 5.88 | $0.170 | $0.41 | -$0.59 |
 Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 2.7 | $0.198 | $0.28 | -$0.25 |
 Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 166.67 | $0.006 | $0.25 | -$0.75 |
| sell |
| 5 |
| $0.250 |
| $1.25 |
| Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 15.38 | $0.080 | $1.23 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.260 | $1.3 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Stavky by July 31?Yes | sell | 10.1 | $0.100 | $1.01 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Iran successfully targets shipping on July 4?Yes | sell | 17.76 | $0.062 | $1.1 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?No | sell | 1.07 | $0.988 | $1.06 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?No | sell | 1.16 | $0.973 | $1.13 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?Yes | sell | 1.57 | $0.770 | $1.21 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?No | sell | 2 | $0.996 | $1.99 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Folarin Balogun be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 3.69 | $0.998 | $3.68 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Yes | sell | 4.76 | $0.330 | $1.57 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.710 | $3.55 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Putin not meet?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.600 | $3 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by September 30?No | sell | 5 | $0.330 | $1.65 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31?Yes | sell | 6.77 | $0.820 | $5.55 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 7.26 | $0.840 | $6.1 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?No | sell | 7.26 | $0.940 | $6.82 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in June?No | sell | 7.27 | $0.870 | $6.32 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | sell | 7.63 | $0.830 | $6.33 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 7.93 | $0.760 | $6.03 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Yes | sell | 7.93 | $0.900 | $7.14 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.590 | $4.72 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 8.5 | $0.720 | $6.12 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?Yes | sell | 8.62 | $0.580 | $5 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 22-June 28?Yes | sell | 9.15 | $0.971 | $8.88 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 9.56 | $0.570 | $5.45 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 9.76 | $0.230 | $2.24 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte?No | sell | 10 | $0.280 | $2.8 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.140 | $1.4 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.260 | $1.3 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.400 | $4 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?Yes | sell | 10.18 | $0.500 | $5.09 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.800 | $8 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?No | sell | 12.11 | $0.550 | $6.66 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 9.72 | $0.130 | $1.26 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 14.52 | $0.410 | $5.95 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?Yes | sell | 16.43 | $0.378 | $6.21 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes | sell | 16.99 | $0.300 | $5.1 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Yvette Cooper be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Yes | sell | 18.92 | $0.071 | $1.34 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Stavky by July 31?Yes | sell | 3.66 | $0.100 | $0.37 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?OpenAI | sell | 24.12 | $0.140 | $3.38 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Russia enter Myrne by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 24.88 | $0.160 | $3.98 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.180 | $3.6 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Yes | sell | 26.84 | $0.120 | $3.22 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes | sell | 27.83 | $0.200 | $5.57 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes | sell | 28.87 | $0.210 | $6.06 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?Yes | sell | 31.25 | $0.080 | $2.5 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on July 4?Yes | sell | 6.68 | $0.063 | $0.42 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 39.4 | $0.045 | $1.77 | Jun 30, 2026 |