Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 NATO dissolves before 2027? | No | 9.95 | $0.985 | $9.79 | -$0.01 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NATO dissolves before 2027?No | buy | 9.95 | $0.985 | $9.8 | 1d ago |
 |
| sell |
| 9.05 |
| $0.923 |
| $8.35 |
| 1d ago |
| Will Uber ask Travis Kalanick back by June 30, 2027?No | buy | 9.05 | $0.941 | $8.52 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?No | sell | 10.22 | $0.955 | $9.76 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?No | buy | 10.22 | $0.946 | $9.67 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 3.25 | $0.949 | $3.08 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 4.74 | $0.992 | $4.7 | May 18, 2026 |
| Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 4 | $0.991 | $3.96 | May 18, 2026 |
| Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 4 | $0.984 | $3.94 | May 13, 2026 |
 Will Sergio Fajardo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No | sell | 9.94 | $0.998 | $9.92 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will Sergio Fajardo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No | buy | 9.95 | $0.996 | $9.91 | Apr 5, 2026 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 17?Yes | buy | 9.91 | $0.960 | $9.51 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 Will Noah rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?No | sell | 10.53 | $0.904 | $9.52 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will Noah rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?No | buy | 10.54 | $0.931 | $9.81 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Will Elon cut the budget by at least 5% in 2025?No | buy | 9.81 | $0.988 | $9.69 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 17?No | buy | 2.46 | $0.997 | $2.45 | Dec 19, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on December 19?No | buy | 7.24 | $0.981 | $7.1 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together in 2025?No | sell | 7.21 | $0.985 | $7.1 | Dec 17, 2025 |
| Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together in 2025?No | buy | 7.22 | $0.989 | $7.14 | Dec 12, 2025 |
 Will Semisi Sika be the next Prime Minister of Tonga after the election?No | buy | 2.45 | $0.960 | $2.35 | Dec 5, 2025 |
 Will Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?Yes | buy | 7.13 | $0.984 | $7.02 | Nov 1, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31?No | buy | 2.57 | $0.974 | $2.5 | Oct 19, 2025 |
 Will Cintas (CTAS) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?No | buy | 2.36 | $0.989 | $2.33 | Oct 14, 2025 |
 Will Ross Ulbricht sell Bitcoin before February?No | buy | 18.43 | $0.978 | $18.02 | Jan 28, 2025 |
 Ukraine agrees to resume Russian natural gas transit in January?No | buy | 3.7 | $0.981 | $3.63 | Jan 11, 2025 |
 Trump sentenced to prison in NY case before inauguration?No | buy | 4.14 | $0.995 | $4.12 | Jan 2, 2025 |
 Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?No | buy | 2.47 | $0.979 | $2.42 | Dec 21, 2024 |
| Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?No | buy | 2.37 | $0.959 | $2.27 | Dec 13, 2024 |
 Will Trump do better in Florida or Alaska?Alaska | buy | 0.84 | $0.993 | $0.83 | Nov 30, 2024 |
 Trump $83.3m verdict reduced on appeal?Yes | sell | 9.89 | $0.002 | $0.02 | Nov 24, 2024 |
| Trump $83.3m verdict reduced on appeal?Yes | buy | 9.9 | $0.099 | $0.98 | Nov 24, 2024 |
 Will Biden resign in November?No | buy | 3.49 | $0.991 | $3.46 | Nov 24, 2024 |
 Will Ryan Williams win the Heisman Trophy?No | buy | 1.5 | $0.999 | $1.5 | Nov 17, 2024 |
 Will Republicans control 230 or more seats in the House after the election?Yes | buy | 20.96K | $0.001 | $20.96 | Nov 16, 2024 |
 Will 'Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga' gross most in 2024?No | buy | 1.44 | $0.999 | $1.44 | Nov 9, 2024 |
 Will the another party win the most seats in the 2024 Japanese general election?No | buy | 0.92 | $0.999 | $0.92 | Oct 25, 2024 |
 Trump sentenced to between 36 and 47 months prison time?No | sell | 3.04K | $0.998 | $3.04K | Oct 20, 2024 |
| Trump sentenced to between 36 and 47 months prison time?No | buy | 3.04K | $0.999 | $3.04K | Oct 20, 2024 |
| Trump sentenced to between 12 and 23 months prison time?No | sell | 3.04K | $0.998 | $3.04K | Oct 20, 2024 |
| Trump sentenced to between 12 and 23 months prison time?No | buy | 3.04K | $0.999 | $3.04K | Oct 20, 2024 |
 Will another candidate win the 2024 Porto Alegre mayoral election?No | buy | 0.99 | $0.999 | $0.99 | Oct 17, 2024 |
 Will TS-LKD win the most seats in the 2024 Lithuania legislative election?No | buy | 0.6 | $0.994 | $0.6 | Oct 13, 2024 |
 Will Jude Bellingham win the Ballon d’Or?No | buy | 0.94 | $0.985 | $0.93 | Oct 13, 2024 |
 Will Toni Kroos win the Ballon d’Or?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.998 | $1.09 | Oct 13, 2024 |
 Will Elon tweet less than 150 times October 11-18?No | buy | 0.63 | $0.880 | $0.55 | Oct 13, 2024 |
 September temperature increase by more than 1.40°C?Yes | sell | 28.42 | $0.014 | $0.4 | Oct 12, 2024 |
| September temperature increase by more than 1.40°C?Yes | buy | 28.42 | $0.025 | $0.72 | Oct 12, 2024 |
 Will the Greens win the most seats in the 2024 British Columbia general election?No | buy | 2.97 | $0.999 | $2.97 | Oct 12, 2024 |
 2024 Balance of Power: OtherNo | sell | 886.42 | $0.997 | $883.76 | Oct 4, 2024 |
| 2024 Balance of Power: OtherNo | buy | 886.42 | $0.998 | $884.65 | Oct 4, 2024 |