Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Denmark Military clash before 2027? | Yes | 799.28 | $0.176 | $50.75 | -$89.67 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | buy | 399.82 | $0.204 | $81.38 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 434.78 |
| $0.230 |
| $28.26 |
| -$71.74 |
 Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 9.6K | $0.010 | $14.41 | -$85.59 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 18.87 | $0.530 | $1.23 | -$8.77 |
| buy |
| 53.19 |
| $0.470 |
| $25 |
| Mar 1, 2026 |
 Will Iran strike seven countries in March?Yes | buy | 91.38 | $0.219 | $20 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Will Iran strike six countries in March?Yes | buy | 185.85 | $0.161 | $30 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Will Iran strike five countries in March?Yes | buy | 218.97 | $0.137 | $30 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Will Iran strike four countries in March?Yes | buy | 393.67 | $0.076 | $30 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Will Iran strike three countries in March?Yes | buy | 256 | $0.078 | $20 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Will Iran strike two countries in March?Yes | buy | 173.57 | $0.058 | $10 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Will Iran strike one country in March?Yes | buy | 454.55 | $0.022 | $10 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | sell | 22.73K | $0.050 | $1.14K | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 799.28 | $0.176 | $140.42 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Machado hug by Friday?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.190 | $19 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes | buy | 434.78 | $0.230 | $100 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 18.87 | $0.530 | $10 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?No | buy | 17.86 | $0.560 | $10 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 9.09K | $0.220 | $2K | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 13.64K | $0.220 | $3K | Jan 13, 2026 |
 Will the US strike Cuba nexYes | buy | 10K | $0.001 | $10 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will the US strike Mexico next?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.001 | $10 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 Will Aristides Teixeira win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.001 | $10 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 Will Joana Amaral Dias win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.001 | $10 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 Will Paulo Portas win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.001 | $10 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.001 | $10 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 119.05 | $0.042 | $5 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 3.33K | $0.003 | $10 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.5K | $0.004 | $10 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 279.44 | $0.018 | $5 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 289.44 | $0.017 | $5 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 193.27 | $0.026 | $5 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.31K | $0.008 | $10 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.86K | $0.002 | $10 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.001 | $10 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will the US strike Iran next?Yes | buy | 6.43K | $0.016 | $100 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will the US strike Iran next?Yes | buy | 12.81K | $0.023 | $300 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.400 | $100 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | buy | 9.6K | $0.010 | $100 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will the US strike Iran next?Yes | buy | 3.02K | $0.013 | $40 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will the US not strike another country before 2027?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.002 | $10 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will the US strike another country first?Yes | buy | 3.35K | $0.003 | $10 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will the US strike Nigeria next?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.001 | $10 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will the US strike Colombia next?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.001 | $10 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will the US strike Yemen next?Yes | buy | 568.99 | $0.018 | $10 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will the US strike Syria next?Yes | buy | 1.53K | $0.007 | $10 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will the US strike Venezuela next?Yes | buy | 2.88K | $0.003 | $10 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will the US strike Iran next?Yes | buy | 7.13K | $0.005 | $38 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | sell | 542.85 | $0.200 | $108.57 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 542.86 | $0.210 | $114 | Jan 13, 2026 |