Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Epstein suicide note released by May 31?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | May 9, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 21.74 |
| $0.046 |
| $1 |
| May 9, 2026 |
 Iran coup attempt by June 30?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | May 9, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?Yes | buy | 19.15 | $0.052 | $1 | May 9, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?Yes | buy | 16.95 | $0.059 | $1 | May 9, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by May 15?No | buy | 83.33 | $0.060 | $5 | May 9, 2026 |
 Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.007 | $1 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?No | buy | 66.67 | $0.015 | $1 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Epic Fury" this week? (April 19)No | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will Bernie or Mamdani say "One Percent" 2+ times during NYC rally?No | buy | 3.13 | $0.320 | $1 | Apr 11, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes | buy | 3.33 | $0.300 | $1 | Apr 11, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?No | buy | 47.62 | $0.021 | $1 | Apr 11, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No | buy | 3.14 | $0.318 | $1 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | buy | 2.79 | $0.358 | $1 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 84.58 | $0.012 | $1 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Military action against Iran ends by April 15, 2026?No | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?No | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No | buy | 333.33 | $0.003 | $1 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes | sell | 9.09 | $0.997 | $9.06 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.028 | $1 | Mar 28, 2026 |
 Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 15.51 | $0.709 | $11 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 52.11 | $0.253 | $13.16 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 42.05 | $0.262 | $11 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.5 | $0.222 | $1 | Mar 28, 2026 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 285.71 | $0.007 | $2 | Mar 22, 2026 |
 U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by March 31?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.150 | $6 | Mar 21, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding on March 31?Yes | buy | 96.73 | $0.052 | $5 | Mar 21, 2026 |
 Will any European country expel an Israeli ambassador by March 31?Yes | buy | 115.7 | $0.035 | $4 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | Mar 21, 2026 |
 France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.030 | $5 | Mar 21, 2026 |
 Pakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by March 31?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | Mar 21, 2026 |
 Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 42.43 | $0.071 | $3 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by March 31?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.200 | $4 | Mar 21, 2026 |
 Will another country strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.200 | $5 | Mar 21, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 31?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.060 | $5 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 156.25 | $0.032 | $5 | Mar 21, 2026 |