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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30? | No | 12K | $0.840 | $11.28K | +$1.2K |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?No | buy | 12.99 | $0.850 | $11.04 | 12d ago |
|
| No |
| 4.97K |
| $0.540 |
| $3.28K |
| +$596.39 |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? | No | 3.03K | $0.900 | $2.66K | -$60.52 |
 Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? | No | 2.78K | $0.740 | $2.62K | +$556.65 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | No | 1.31K | $0.570 | $1.12K | +$372.75 |
 Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? | No | 302.2 | $0.498 | $300.84 | +$150.43 |
| buy |
| 4.97K |
| $0.540 |
| $2.68K |
| 12d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?Yes | buy | 1.16K | $0.140 | $162.4 | 13d ago |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?No | sell | 2K | $0.050 | $100 | 22d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Yes | sell | 3.62K | $0.830 | $3K | 22d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?No | buy | 839.84 | $0.070 | $58.79 | 24d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Yes | sell | 19.29K | $0.806 | $15.56K | 24d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Yes | sell | 0.36 | $0.910 | $0.33 | 24d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?No | buy | 20.84K | $0.840 | $17.5K | 24d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Yes | sell | 13.64K | $0.997 | $13.59K | 24d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Yes | buy | 22.89K | $0.790 | $18.08K | 25d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?No | buy | 7.6K | $0.868 | $6.6K | 28d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | buy | 6.7K | $0.750 | $5.03K | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 302.2 | $0.498 | $150.41 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 523 | $0.421 | $220 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 9, 2026?No | buy | 10K | $0.900 | $9K | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Yes | buy | 3.66K | $0.820 | $3K | Aug 8, 2026 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 7.87K | $0.670 | $5.27K | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Yes | buy | 1.4K | $0.760 | $1.06K | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Yes | buy | 12.53K | $0.798 | $10K | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?No | sell | 1.66K | $0.900 | $1.49K | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | sell | 1.42K | $0.328 | $467.32 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by August 15?Yes | sell | 33.99 | $0.060 | $2.04 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Yes | sell | 3.53K | $0.338 | $1.19K | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?No | sell | 2K | $0.220 | $440 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Yes | buy | 3.53K | $0.380 | $1.34K | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?Yes | sell | 1.15K | $0.561 | $644.71 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | buy | 1.42K | $0.340 | $484.22 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?Yes | buy | 44.82K | $0.889 | $39.85K | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.970 | $9.7 | May 8, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?Yes | sell | 1.02K | $0.103 | $104.77 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No | sell | 48.07K | $0.986 | $47.4K | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 1.27K | $0.610 | $777.68 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 3.57K | $0.640 | $2.28K | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 9.27K | $0.640 | $5.93K | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | sell | 5.41K | $0.190 | $1.03K | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No | sell | 48.07K | $0.988 | $47.5K | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?Yes | buy | 1.02K | $0.157 | $160 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No | sell | 333.66 | $0.900 | $300.29 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 612 | $0.963 | $589.3 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 15.94K | $0.740 | $11.8K | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No | buy | 4.09K | $0.984 | $4.02K | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No | buy | 20.39K | $0.984 | $20.06K | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will Fidesz-KDNP win <36% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?No | sell | 1.22K | $0.770 | $939.83 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?Yes | sell | 2K | $0.180 | $360 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will TISZA win 54%+ of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?No | sell | 500 | $0.201 | $100.53 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 3K | $0.999 | $3K | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?No | buy | 2.34K | $0.929 | $2.17K | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?Yes | sell | 8.42K | $0.650 | $5.47K | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?Yes | sell | 9.05K | $0.572 | $5.18K | Apr 9, 2026 |