Analytics
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record? | Yes | 34.67 | $0.086 | $0.71 | -$2.29 |
| Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?No | buy | 83.33 | $0.120 | $10 | May 14, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 438.39 |
| $0.007 |
| $0.66 |
| -$2.34 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 8.77 | $0.570 | $0.57 | -$4.43 |
 Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? | Yes | 10.53 | $0.190 | $0.46 | -$1.54 |
 Anduril IPO before 2027? | Yes | 3.85 | $0.260 | $0.23 | -$0.77 |
 Discord IPO before 2027? | Yes | 1.28 | $0.784 | $0.19 | -$0.81 |
| Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower? | Yes | 27.78 | $0.036 | $0.11 | -$0.89 |
 Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 3.0% and 4.0%? | Yes | 10 | $0.100 | $0.11 | -$0.89 |
| buy |
| 8.44K |
| $0.001 |
| $8.44 |
| Apr 25, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 93.75 | $0.090 | $8.44 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | buy | 1.63K | $0.001 | $1.63 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Anthropic IPO before 2027?Yes | sell | 3.33 | $0.490 | $1.63 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | buy | 4.85K | $0.001 | $4.85 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will GTA 6 cost $100+?Yes | sell | 38.46 | $0.126 | $4.85 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | buy | 4.39K | $0.001 | $4.39 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group BFaZe | sell | 26.46 | $0.170 | $4.5 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | buy | 13.19K | $0.001 | $13.19 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | sell | 22.35 | $0.590 | $13.19 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | buy | 9.02K | $0.001 | $9.02 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?No | sell | 13.88 | $0.650 | $9.02 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | buy | 6.51K | $0.001 | $6.51 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | sell | 15.87 | $0.410 | $6.51 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | buy | 2.92K | $0.001 | $2.92 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.94 | $0.400 | $1.18 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?Yes | sell | 5.38 | $0.240 | $1.29 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Another critical Cloudflare incident by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 0.77 | $0.582 | $0.45 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | buy | 1.3K | $0.001 | $1.3 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | buy | 2K | $0.001 | $2 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | buy | 2K | $0.001 | $2 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 7.69 | $0.690 | $5.31 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | buy | 2.46K | $0.002 | $3.75 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?No | sell | 7.36 | $0.510 | $3.75 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Starmer out by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 87.62 | $0.030 | $2.59 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 3.7 | $0.700 | $2.59 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | buy | 1.93K | $0.002 | $3.85 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?No | sell | 3.53 | $0.820 | $2.89 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | buy | 2.1K | $0.004 | $8.4 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?No | sell | 11.9 | $0.786 | $9.35 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | buy | 1.24K | $0.004 | $4.97 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 27.77 | $0.179 | $4.97 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | buy | 83.49 | $0.042 | $3.51 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?Yes | sell | 10.63 | $0.330 | $3.51 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | buy | 62.11 | $0.038 | $2.36 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?No | sell | 2.56 | $0.920 | $2.36 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | buy | 165.38 | $0.053 | $8.75 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.350 | $8.75 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | buy | 118.29 | $0.041 | $4.85 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | sell | 9.25 | $0.525 | $4.86 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | buy | 271.46 | $0.062 | $16.91 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | buy | 161.29 | $0.062 | $10 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 41.4 | $0.650 | $26.91 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | buy | 47.59 | $0.101 | $4.8 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | buy | 6.76 | $0.148 | $1 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?No | sell | 22.72 | $0.031 | $0.7 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | buy | 33.73 | $0.148 | $5 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | buy | 33.78 | $0.148 | $5 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | buy | 60.24 | $0.083 | $5 | Apr 17, 2026 |