Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 114.94 | $0.870 | $100.57 | +$0.57 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 27.49 | $0.690 | $18.97 | 16d ago |
| Yes |
| 153.85 |
| $0.650 |
| $93.08 |
| -$6.92 |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | No | 175.11 | $0.542 | $88.43 | -$6.57 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 116.28 | $0.860 | $83.14 | -$16.86 |
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 27.49 | $0.690 | $18.83 | -$0.14 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | Yes | 111.55 | $0.140 | $14.5 | -$1.16 |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? | Yes | 222.22 | $0.090 | $10 | -$10 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 68.75 | $0.145 | $9.14 | -$0.86 |
| Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be less than $1.25T? | Yes | 81.12 | $0.012 | $0.04 | -$0.96 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes| buy |
| 116.28 |
| $0.860 |
| $100 |
| 16d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | sell | 108.69 | $0.981 | $106.68 | 16d ago |
| Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be less than $1.25T?Yes | buy | 81.12 | $0.012 | $1 | 17d ago |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 68.75 | $0.145 | $10 | 20d ago |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?Yes | buy | 222.22 | $0.090 | $20 | 20d ago |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo | buy | 96.15 | $0.520 | $50 | 20d ago |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo | buy | 78.95 | $0.570 | $45 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | buy | 153.85 | $0.650 | $100 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 114.94 | $0.870 | $100 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 108.7 | $0.920 | $100 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Trump declassifies new UFO files by August 31?Yes | sell | 0.48 | $0.780 | $0.37 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | sell | 347.48 | $0.977 | $339.49 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | sell | 16.88 | $0.510 | $8.61 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | buy | 16.88 | $0.770 | $13 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by August 31?Yes | sell | 15.39 | $0.710 | $10.93 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Will England win on 2026-07-15?Yes | buy | 28.37 | $0.352 | $10 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 17?Yes | sell | 101.66 | $0.073 | $7.42 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by August 31?Yes | buy | 15.87 | $0.630 | $10 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 17?Yes | buy | 101.67 | $0.098 | $10 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 31?No | sell | 28.12 | $0.361 | $10.16 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 31?No | sell | 19 | $0.830 | $15.77 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 31?No | buy | 35.29 | $0.850 | $30 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 31?No | buy | 5.88 | $0.850 | $5 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 31?No | buy | 5.95 | $0.840 | $5 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 113.64 | $0.880 | $100 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?No | sell | 145.07 | $0.977 | $141.73 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?No | buy | 133.71 | $0.890 | $119 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | sell | 35.71 | $0.930 | $33.21 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo | sell | 50.84 | $0.570 | $28.98 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?No | buy | 11.36 | $0.880 | $10 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?No | sell | 5.09 | $0.450 | $2.29 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No | buy | 37.33 | $0.800 | $29.86 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?No | buy | 5.09 | $0.550 | $2.8 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | buy | 35.71 | $0.840 | $30 | Jun 29, 2026 |
 Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.022 | $2 | Jun 29, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?No | sell | 65.21 | $0.991 | $64.64 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?No | buy | 40.77 | $0.908 | $37 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | sell | 28.48 | $0.984 | $28.02 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes | sell | 32.74 | $0.290 | $9.49 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?No | buy | 24.44 | $0.900 | $22 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 23.01 | $0.967 | $22.25 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes | buy | 16.36 | $0.550 | $9 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Another GTA VI trailer released by June 26?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.382 | $9.56 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes | buy | 16.38 | $0.550 | $9.01 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No | sell | 19.8 | $0.465 | $9.21 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?No | buy | 12.79 | $0.860 | $11 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | sell | 28.98 | $0.379 | $10.97 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No | buy | 10.13 | $0.790 | $8 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?No | sell | 9.61 | $0.900 | $8.65 | Jun 24, 2026 |