Analytics
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 100 | $0.790 | $45.5 | -$33.5 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?Yes | buy | 46.51 | $0.043 | $2 | Jun 10, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 10 |
| $0.850 |
| $9.05 |
| +$0.55 |
| buy |
| 9.52 |
| $0.210 |
| $2 |
| Jun 10, 2026 |
 Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 28.17 | $0.710 | $20 | May 19, 2026 |
| Will Egypt win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 151.94 | $0.197 | $30 | May 19, 2026 |
 Will Base launch a token in 2025?No | sell | 32.6 | $0.982 | $32.01 | Dec 8, 2025 |
 Dogecoin all time high before 2026?No | sell | 30.65 | $0.990 | $30.34 | Dec 8, 2025 |
 Will Abstract launch a token in 2025?No | sell | 16.09 | $0.964 | $15.51 | Dec 8, 2025 |
 Will Aztec launch a token in 2025?No | sell | 7.57 | $0.985 | $7.46 | Dec 8, 2025 |
 Putin out as President of Russia in 2025?No | sell | 1.34 | $0.987 | $1.32 | Dec 8, 2025 |
 Stable FDV above $6B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 499.93 | $0.047 | $23.52 | Nov 30, 2025 |
 Monad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?No | sell | 270 | $0.999 | $269.73 | Nov 25, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 11.62 | $0.580 | $6.74 | Nov 13, 2025 |
 Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | sell | 106.38 | $0.970 | $103.19 | Nov 1, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | sell | 24.69 | $0.920 | $22.71 | Nov 1, 2025 |
 Will Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?Yes | sell | 110 | $0.972 | $106.89 | Nov 1, 2025 |
 MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?No | buy | 48.78 | $0.820 | $40 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Will Gen.G win LoL Worlds 2025?Yes | buy | 144.93 | $0.690 | $100 | Oct 28, 2025 |
| Will Gen.G win LoL Worlds 2025?Yes | buy | 34.78 | $0.690 | $24 | Oct 28, 2025 |
| Will Aztec launch a token in 2025?No | buy | 7.58 | $0.660 | $5 | Oct 28, 2025 |
| Will Abstract launch a token in 2025?No | buy | 16.09 | $0.932 | $15 | Oct 28, 2025 |
| Dogecoin all time high before 2026?No | buy | 30.66 | $0.946 | $29 | Oct 28, 2025 |
| Will Base launch a token in 2025?No | buy | 32.61 | $0.920 | $30 | Oct 28, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 119.05 | $0.840 | $100 | Oct 24, 2025 |
| Putin out as President of Russia in 2025?No | buy | 1.34 | $0.967 | $1.3 | Oct 22, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?Yes | buy | 3.81 | $0.840 | $3.2 | Oct 22, 2025 |
 Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025Yes | buy | 4.82 | $0.850 | $4.1 | Oct 22, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 11.63 | $0.860 | $10 | Oct 22, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 24.69 | $0.810 | $20 | Oct 19, 2025 |
 Will Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025?Yes | buy | 102.67 | $0.974 | $100 | Oct 19, 2025 |
 Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 113.64 | $0.880 | $100 | Oct 19, 2025 |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 106.38 | $0.940 | $100 | Oct 19, 2025 |
| Will Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?Yes | buy | 17 | $0.964 | $16.39 | Oct 19, 2025 |
| Will Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025?Yes | buy | 27.16 | $0.957 | $26 | Oct 15, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 31.78 | $0.881 | $28 | Oct 15, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 10.64 | $0.940 | $10 | Oct 15, 2025 |
 Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?Yes | sell | 111.11 | $0.965 | $107.2 | Feb 23, 2025 |
 Solana above $215 on January 24?Yes | buy | 103.2 | $0.969 | $100 | Jan 22, 2025 |
 RedNote/Xiaohongshu #1 app on Friday?Yes | buy | 128.21 | $0.780 | $100 | Jan 15, 2025 |
 Ethereum above $3,500 on January 10?No | buy | 135.14 | $0.740 | $100 | Jan 8, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | buy | 101.63 | $0.984 | $100 | Jan 8, 2025 |
| Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.900 | $100 | Jan 8, 2025 |
 Bitcoin above $94,000 on January 3?Yes | sell | 222.22 | $0.962 | $213.78 | Jan 3, 2025 |
| Bitcoin above $94,000 on January 3?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.900 | $100 | Jan 2, 2025 |
| Bitcoin above $94,000 on January 3?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.900 | $100 | Jan 2, 2025 |
 OpenSea token >1 billion a week after launch?Yes | buy | 62.07 | $0.580 | $36 | Dec 19, 2024 |
| Bitcoin above $100,000 on December 20?Yes | buy | 144.93 | $0.690 | $100 | Dec 19, 2024 |
| Ethereum above $3,900 on December 20?No | buy | 119.05 | $0.840 | $100 | Dec 19, 2024 |
 Ripple above $2.39 on December 13?No | buy | 526.54 | $0.038 | $20 | Dec 13, 2024 |
 MSFT shareholders vote for Bitcoin investment?No | sell | 11.36 | $0.996 | $11.31 | Dec 11, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | sell | 103.95 | $0.960 | $99.79 | Dec 11, 2024 |