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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026? | Yes | 101.61 | $0.028 | $5.23 | +$2.39 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 25.47 | $0.090 | $2.29 | 20d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 29.34 |
| $0.129 |
| $2.79 |
| -$0.99 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | Yes | 50.94 | $0.090 | $2.67 | -$1.91 |
 Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026? | Yes | 56.52 | $0.160 | $2.09 | -$6.98 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026? | Yes | 5 | $0.104 | $2.09 | +$1.57 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | Yes | 3.45 | $0.280 | $1.81 | +$0.85 |
 Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | Yes | 79.9 | $0.065 | $1.68 | -$3.52 |
 ByteDance IPO before 2027? | Yes | 27.96 | $0.081 | $1.26 | -$1 |
 Anduril Industries IPO before 2027? | Yes | 22.68 | $0.090 | $1.25 | -$0.79 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026? | Yes | 5 | $0.067 | $1.2 | +$0.86 |
 Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch? | Yes | 25.36 | $0.040 | $1.09 | +$0.08 |
 Celonis IPO before 2027? | Yes | 20 | $0.131 | $1 | -$1.63 |
| Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 21.62 | $0.031 | $0.99 | +$0.32 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 94.16 | $0.020 | $0.85 | -$1.04 |
| Will Israel strike 8 countries in 2026? | Yes | 68.21 | $0.030 | $0.78 | -$1.26 |
| Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 104.09 | $0.040 | $0.78 | -$3.38 |
 Canva IPO before 2027? | Yes | 23.54 | $0.080 | $0.72 | -$1.17 |
 Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 60.86 | $0.022 | $0.64 | -$0.7 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026? | Yes | 113.47 | $0.020 | $0.51 | -$1.76 |
 Rippling IPO before 2027? | Yes | 6 | $0.140 | $0.51 | -$0.33 |
| Will Abbas Araghchi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 145.67 | $0.033 | $0.51 | -$4.33 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 109.83 | $0.020 | $0.49 | -$1.7 |
| Will Israel strike 11 countries in 2026? | Yes | 329.46 | $0.020 | $0.49 | -$6.1 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 109.82 | $0.020 | $0.49 | -$1.7 |
| Will Israel strike 10 countries in 2026? | Yes | 92.43 | $0.020 | $0.46 | -$1.39 |
| sell |
| 20.9 |
| $0.014 |
| $0.29 |
| 21d ago |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Yes | sell | 25.51 | $0.021 | $0.54 | 21d ago |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | sell | 16.62 | $0.020 | $0.33 | 24d ago |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes | sell | 17.63 | $0.110 | $1.94 | 28d ago |
 New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?Yes | sell | 43.52 | $0.040 | $1.74 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | sell | 16.37 | $0.146 | $2.39 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Yes | sell | 72.72 | $0.024 | $1.75 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes | sell | 31.09 | $0.050 | $1.55 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | sell | 16.26 | $0.130 | $2.11 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Trump out as President before 2027?Yes | sell | 31.4 | $0.060 | $1.88 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 17.68 | $0.060 | $1.06 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | sell | 15.96 | $0.140 | $2.23 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes | sell | 16.86 | $0.110 | $1.85 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027?Yes | sell | 42.24 | $0.046 | $1.94 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 50.28 | $0.038 | $1.91 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 49.06 | $0.037 | $1.82 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | sell | 59.47 | $0.025 | $1.49 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?Yes | sell | 39.06 | $0.079 | $3.09 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?Yes | sell | 15.42 | $0.381 | $5.88 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?Yes | sell | 55.23 | $0.040 | $2.23 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | sell | 14.97 | $0.015 | $0.22 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Ahmad Vahidi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | sell | 10.45 | $0.022 | $0.23 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?Yes | sell | 30.57 | $0.465 | $14.22 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes | sell | 54.38 | $0.024 | $1.31 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will Ethereum dip to $700 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 21.57 | $0.049 | $1.06 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 11.98 | $0.120 | $1.44 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 15.08 | $0.070 | $1.06 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 17.89 | $0.110 | $1.97 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $500 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 31.52 | $0.025 | $0.79 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,000 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 8.39 | $0.060 | $0.5 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 19.62 | $0.090 | $1.77 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series?Yes | sell | 47.36 | $0.024 | $1.14 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 15.36 | $0.120 | $1.84 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 15.04 | $0.120 | $1.8 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?No | sell | 9.76 | $0.270 | $2.64 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 62.77 | $0.020 | $1.26 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027?No | sell | 35.15 | $0.190 | $6.68 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 77.9 | $0.020 | $1.56 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 51.93 | $0.023 | $1.19 | Jul 5, 2026 |
 Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 44.57 | $0.029 | $1.29 | Jul 5, 2026 |
 Will Linda Nosková be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?Yes | sell | 61 | $0.046 | $2.81 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?Yes | sell | 16.92 | $0.143 | $2.42 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $6,500 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 36.94 | $0.031 | $1.15 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 38.95 | $0.031 | $1.21 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 8.47 | $0.277 | $2.35 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will Marta Kostyuk be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?Yes | sell | 77.89 | $0.022 | $1.68 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will Elena Rybakina be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?Yes | sell | 13 | $0.110 | $1.43 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will Amanda Anisimova be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?Yes | sell | 22.25 | $0.065 | $1.45 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will Coco Gauff be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?Yes | sell | 25.96 | $0.042 | $1.09 | Jul 2, 2026 |