Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 35.17 | $0.845 | $33.24 | +$3.52 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Yes | buy | 3.7 | $0.470 | $1.74 | 1d ago |
 |
| No |
| 22.17 |
| $0.670 |
| $20.73 |
| +$5.88 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | 22.17 | $0.670 | $19.18 | +$4.32 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 17.48 | $0.850 | $16.94 | +$2.08 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 35.36 | $0.420 | $16.09 | +$1.24 |
 Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? | Yes | 8.1 | $0.780 | $7.25 | +$0.93 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | No | 6.08 | $0.800 | $5.54 | +$0.68 |
 Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? | Yes | 12.5 | $0.240 | $2.38 | -$0.63 |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | 3.25 | $0.400 | $1.64 | +$0.34 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? | Yes | 3.7 | $0.470 | $1.28 | -$0.46 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 3.23 | $0.390 | $1.15 | -$0.11 |
 Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | No | 2.52 | $0.560 | $1.12 | -$0.29 |
 Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | No | 3 | $0.370 | $1.04 | -$0.07 |
 Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | No | 3 | $0.410 | $1.02 | -$0.21 |
 Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 6 | $0.180 | $0.81 | -$0.27 |
 Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 6 | $0.220 | $0.45 | -$0.87 |
| buy |
| 5.01 |
| $0.750 |
| $3.76 |
| 2d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 3.23 | $0.390 | $1.26 | 8d ago |
 Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?Yes | buy | 15.25 | $0.360 | $5.49 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.210 | $1.26 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?No | buy | 6.08 | $0.720 | $4.38 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?No | buy | 9.17 | $0.520 | $4.77 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.59 | $0.750 | $4.94 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?No | buy | 6.08 | $0.710 | $4.32 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 21.7 | $0.300 | $6.51 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No | buy | 6.08 | $0.800 | $4.86 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $107.50 Week of July 13 2026?No | buy | 6 | $0.210 | $1.26 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?No | buy | 6.81 | $0.740 | $5.04 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?No | buy | 6.57 | $0.752 | $4.94 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.220 | $1.32 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by August 31?No | buy | 6.08 | $0.800 | $4.86 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.75 | $0.440 | $3.85 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will JP Morgan (JPM) Q2 investment banking fees be above $2.85B?Yes | buy | 8.14 | $0.560 | $4.56 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?No | buy | 6.38 | $0.790 | $5.04 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $138 Week of July 6 2026?No | buy | 7.1 | $0.680 | $4.83 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.62 | $0.414 | $3.57 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?No | buy | 9.17 | $0.520 | $4.77 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?No | buy | 6.5 | $0.260 | $1.69 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.330 | $2.64 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $180 Week of July 6 2026?Yes | buy | 9 | $0.660 | $5.94 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.180 | $1.08 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.240 | $3 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between -4% and -2% in May?No | buy | 6.81 | $0.740 | $5.04 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?No | buy | 7 | $0.680 | $4.76 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?Yes | buy | 8.1 | $0.780 | $6.32 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.06 | $0.490 | $1.5 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.220 | $1.32 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?No | buy | 6.08 | $0.800 | $4.86 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 3 | $0.410 | $1.23 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 13.07 | $0.985 | $12.87 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.82 | $0.510 | $1.95 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 8.28 | $0.600 | $4.97 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?No | buy | 2.52 | $0.560 | $1.41 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 13.19 | $0.680 | $8.97 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No | buy | 3 | $0.370 | $1.11 | May 31, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 11.41 | $0.710 | $8.1 | May 31, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 3.25 | $0.400 | $1.3 | May 30, 2026 |
 Will Applied Aerospace & Defense's market cap be between $3.25B and $3.75B at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.320 | $3.2 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 35.36 | $0.420 | $14.85 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 22.17 | $0.670 | $14.85 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No | buy | 19.55 | $0.760 | $14.86 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?Yes | buy | 22.68 | $0.655 | $14.86 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 17.48 | $0.850 | $14.86 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?Yes | buy | 31.14 | $0.477 | $14.85 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No | buy | 22.17 | $0.670 | $14.85 | Mar 3, 2026 |