Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? | No | 3.08K | $0.566 | $1.56K | -$187.65 |
 Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed rate hike in 2026?No | buy | 132.23 | $0.280 | $37.02 | 5d ago |
|
| No |
| 2.44 |
| $0.910 |
| $2.28 |
| +$0.06 |
 Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027? | No | 1.06 | $0.835 | $0.97 | +$0.09 |
 Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? | No | 0.86 | $0.878 | $0.85 | +$0.1 |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026? | No | 0.42 | $0.919 | $0.4 | +$0.01 |
 Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026? | Yes | 0.64 | $0.320 | $0.05 | -$0.16 |
| buy |
| 12 |
| $0.550 |
| $6.6 |
| 9d ago |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.03K | $0.420 | $433.02 | 9d ago |
 Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?No | buy | 600 | $0.540 | $324 | 12d ago |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?No | sell | 10 | $0.690 | $6.9 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.310 | $3.1 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?No | buy | 18 | $0.680 | $12.24 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.34K | $0.580 | $778.94 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.270 | $8.1 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027?Yes | sell | 125 | $0.013 | $1.57 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?Yes | sell | 252.7 | $0.231 | $58.46 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?Yes | sell | 26.13 | $0.726 | $18.97 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?No | sell | 229 | $0.770 | $176.33 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?No | sell | 342.07 | $0.252 | $86.24 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?Yes | sell | 1.1K | $0.241 | $266.12 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Yes | sell | 2.25K | $0.695 | $1.56K | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 6.31K | $0.269 | $1.7K | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?No | buy | 750 | $0.360 | $270 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.350 | $7 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.360 | $3.6 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?No | buy | 417.05 | $0.380 | $158.48 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Yes | buy | 239 | $0.620 | $148.18 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?No | buy | 1.12K | $0.390 | $434.85 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?No | buy | 231 | $0.490 | $113.19 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Yes | buy | 13 | $0.410 | $5.33 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Yes | buy | 13 | $0.550 | $7.15 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 397 | $0.129 | $51.21 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 200 | $0.540 | $108 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Yes | buy | 297.95 | $0.610 | $181.75 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 269.47 | $0.500 | $134.74 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?No | buy | 90 | $0.260 | $23.4 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 287 | $0.200 | $57.4 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.600 | $30 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Yes | buy | 33.46 | $0.670 | $22.42 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?No | buy | 200 | $0.390 | $78 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?Yes | buy | 883 | $0.710 | $626.93 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.380 | $76 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.560 | $5.6 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.00–$2.25 in May?Yes | sell | 4.66 | $0.520 | $2.42 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in May?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.25–$2.50 in May?No | sell | 376.04 | $0.501 | $188.28 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 144.44 | $0.300 | $43.33 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026?Yes | sell | 89 | $0.020 | $1.78 | May 26, 2026 |
 Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?No | buy | 347 | $0.650 | $225.55 | May 18, 2026 |
 Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 125 | $0.150 | $18.75 | May 17, 2026 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.160 | $10 | May 17, 2026 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.160 | $10 | May 17, 2026 |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?Yes | sell | 58 | $0.135 | $7.83 | May 17, 2026 |
 US recession by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 40.65 | $0.220 | $8.94 | May 17, 2026 |
| US recession by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.220 | $0.22 | May 17, 2026 |