Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Yes | 79.41K | $0.080 | $6.11K | -$200.12 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 4.11K | $0.073 | $301.02 | 22d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 26.16K |
| $0.122 |
| $2.75K |
| -$453.36 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 60.12K | $0.067 | $2.31K | -$1.69K |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 2.9K | $0.130 | $217.66 | -$159.62 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 17.41K | $0.035 | $78.34 | -$527.05 |
| sell |
| 14.05K |
| $0.023 |
| $325.51 |
| May 31, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 5.39K | $0.010 | $55.9 | May 31, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.036 | $1.08 | May 31, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 497.54 | $0.036 | $17.72 | May 31, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 8.79K | $0.114 | $1K | May 31, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 6.16K | $0.162 | $1K | May 31, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 16.9K | $0.067 | $1.13K | May 31, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 20.49K | $0.067 | $1.37K | May 31, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 7.58K | $0.066 | $500 | May 31, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 1.74K | $0.094 | $164.01 | May 31, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 15.15K | $0.066 | $1K | May 31, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 13.17K | $0.041 | $538.15 | May 31, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 24.21K | $0.031 | $761.85 | May 31, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?Yes | buy | 2.9K | $0.130 | $377.28 | May 31, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 3.43K | $0.090 | $308.96 | May 30, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 404.58 | $0.559 | $225.96 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.5K | $0.554 | $1.39K | Jan 24, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 60.36 | $0.540 | $32.59 | Jan 24, 2026 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 13.5K | $0.014 | $189 | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.4K | $0.007 | $9.8 | Oct 29, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.8K | $0.014 | $39.2 | Oct 29, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 10.09K | $0.090 | $908.22 | Oct 8, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 16K | $0.025 | $400 | Oct 8, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 25K | $0.004 | $100 | Oct 8, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 704.79 | $0.140 | $98.67 | Sep 30, 2025 |
 Will FC Kairat Almaty vs. Real Madrid end in a draw?Yes | buy | 392.31 | $0.127 | $50 | Sep 30, 2025 |
 US government shutdown by October 1?No | buy | 309.34 | $0.162 | $50 | Sep 30, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | sell | 2.01K | $0.110 | $221.15 | Sep 30, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 2.01K | $0.249 | $500 | Aug 24, 2025 |
 Will Bernie Sanders say "Billionaire" 7+ times during Fighting Oligarchy speech on August 24?Yes | buy | 532.24 | $0.845 | $450 | Aug 24, 2025 |
| Will Bernie Sanders say "Trump" 12+ times during Fighting Oligarchy speech on August 24?Yes | buy | 1.02K | $0.786 | $800 | Aug 24, 2025 |