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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 12.29 | $0.830 | $11.84 | +$1.64 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.13 | $0.983 | $1.11 | Jun 4, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 12.29 |
| $0.830 |
| $10.2 |
| Mar 6, 2026 |
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of January?No | buy | 1.43 | $0.973 | $1.39 | Jan 27, 2026 |
Will Solana reach $210 in January?No | buy | 10.11 | $0.999 | $10.1 | Jan 27, 2026 |
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?Yes | buy | 2.23 | $0.897 | $2 | Dec 11, 2025 |
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | buy | 2.08 | $0.963 | $2 | Dec 11, 2025 |
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 13?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.976 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 |
Will Solana reach $270 in November?No | buy | 5.61 | $0.998 | $5.6 | Nov 22, 2025 |
Will Abercrombie & Fitch (ANF) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | Nov 22, 2025 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?Yes | buy | 1.04 | $0.959 | $1 | Nov 22, 2025 |
Will annual inflation increase by 2.9% or less in September?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Oct 22, 2025 |
Up Only podcast released by October 31?No | buy | 1.37 | $0.730 | $1 | Oct 22, 2025 |
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?No | buy | 2.13 | $0.940 | $2 | Oct 22, 2025 |
US recession in 2025?No | buy | 3.3 | $0.910 | $3 | Sep 16, 2025 |
James Comey indicted before October?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.948 | $1 | Sep 16, 2025 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.981 | $1 | Sep 16, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 9 to September 16, 2025?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.928 | $1 | Sep 16, 2025 |
Will the Party of Action and Solidarity win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Sep 16, 2025 |
Russia announces air truce by August 31?No | buy | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1 | Aug 18, 2025 |
Will Ethereum reach $6500 in August?No | buy | 2.03 | $0.983 | $2 | Aug 18, 2025 |
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by August 31?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Aug 18, 2025 |
Will Sylvi Listhaug become the next Prime Minister of Norway?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Aug 18, 2025 |
Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.38 | $0.725 | $1 | Aug 18, 2025 |
Will Ethereum reach $4000 in July?No | buy | 2.03 | $0.983 | $2 | Jul 8, 2025 |
Earthquake 7.0 or above before August?No | buy | 2.04 | $0.490 | $1 | Jul 8, 2025 |
Will LDP hold the most seats in the House of Councillors following the 2025 Japan election?Yes | buy | 2.04 | $0.981 | $2 | Jul 8, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Jul 8, 2025 |
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.994 | $1 | Jun 26, 2025 |
Will LDP hold the most seats in the House of Councillors following the 2025 Japan election?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.986 | $1 | Jun 26, 2025 |
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?Yes | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | May 17, 2025 |
Elon Musk out as Senior Advisor to Trump in May?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | May 17, 2025 |
Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before June?No | buy | 2.03 | $0.987 | $2 | May 17, 2025 |
Menendez brother released from custody before August?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | May 17, 2025 |
Nothing Ever Happens: MayYes | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | May 17, 2025 |
Macron cocaine use confirmed?No | buy | 2.02 | $0.992 | $2 | May 17, 2025 |
Will Canada block Pornhub in the U.S. before May?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | Apr 16, 2025 |
Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | buy | 2.04 | $0.979 | $2 | Mar 5, 2025 |
TikTok sale announced before April?No | buy | 1.28 | $0.940 | $1.2 | Mar 5, 2025 |
X allowed to operate in China before May?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | Mar 5, 2025 |
Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?Yes | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Feb 6, 2025 |
Will there be less than 100k jobs added in January 2025?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.967 | $1.1 | Feb 6, 2025 |
Will TikTok be banned again before May?No | buy | 2.03 | $0.590 | $1.2 | Feb 6, 2025 |
Will 'Dune: Part Two' win Best Cinematography in the 2025 Critics' Choice Awards?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Feb 6, 2025 |
Will "Captain America" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $64m?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.987 | $1 | Feb 6, 2025 |
Will the Conservative Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?Yes | buy | 1.28 | $0.940 | $1.2 | Jan 13, 2025 |
Will Biden pardon Diddy?No | buy | 1 | $0.997 | $1 | Jan 13, 2025 |
Bird flu declared public health emergency before April?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Jan 13, 2025 |
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?No | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | Jan 13, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Sunday?Yes | buy | 1.25 | $0.160 | $0.2 | Dec 22, 2024 |
Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?No | buy | 1 | $0.997 | $1 | Dec 22, 2024 |