Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 20.24 | $0.988 | $20 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 10.11 |
| $0.989 |
| $10 |
| Jun 21, 2026 |
 Will France win on 2026-06-22?Yes | buy | 5.49 | $0.910 | $5 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?No | buy | 5.21 | $0.959 | $5 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes | buy | 20.86 | $0.959 | $20 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 10.05 | $0.995 | $10 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No | buy | 5.05 | $0.990 | $5 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-21? AND Will France win on 2026-06-22? | buy | 6.11 | $0.819 | $5 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Will Iran strike Iraq in March?Yes | buy | 5.06 | $0.988 | $5 | Mar 7, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 30.36 | $0.988 | $30 | Mar 7, 2026 |
 Will Mansfield Town FC win on 2026-03-07?No | buy | 5.06 | $0.989 | $5 | Mar 7, 2026 |
 2026 U.S. Senate Election: Republican Odds over 90% by March 31?No | buy | 10.09 | $0.991 | $10 | Mar 7, 2026 |
 Nicolás Maduro released from custody by January 9, 2026?No | buy | 10.01 | $0.999 | $10 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 27.14 | $0.995 | $27 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?Yes | buy | 10.36 | $0.965 | $10 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 US recession in 2025?No | buy | 10.16 | $0.984 | $10 | Nov 29, 2025 |
 Starmer out in 2025?No | buy | 10.35 | $0.966 | $10 | Nov 29, 2025 |
 Will Die With a Smile by Lady Gaga and Bruno Mars be the most streamed song globally on Spotify for 2025?Yes | buy | 10.1 | $0.990 | $10 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 Will Mikie Sherrill win by >14%?Yes | buy | 10.08 | $0.992 | $10 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?Yes | buy | 10.54 | $0.949 | $10 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 10.13 | $0.987 | $10 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 Mavericks vs. LakersLakers | buy | 24.39 | $0.820 | $20 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?Yes | buy | 21.13 | $0.994 | $21 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?No | buy | 10.11 | $0.989 | $10 | Nov 28, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 10.07 | $0.993 | $10 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Over $4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?Yes | buy | 1.46K | $0.069 | $100 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Israel strikes Iran by September 30?No | buy | 10.06 | $0.994 | $10 | Sep 30, 2025 |
 U.S. Government funding lapse on October 1?Yes | buy | 2.09 | $0.955 | $2 | Sep 30, 2025 |
 Will Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025?Yes | buy | 10.19 | $0.981 | $10 | Sep 30, 2025 |
 Will Google be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?No | buy | 10.01 | $0.999 | $10 | Aug 30, 2025 |
 Lisa Cook arrested by September 30?No | buy | 6.14 | $0.977 | $6 | Aug 30, 2025 |
 Yoon out of custody by July 31?No | buy | 2.02 | $0.992 | $2 | Jul 28, 2025 |
 Pam Bondi out as Attorney General in July?No | buy | 10.03 | $0.997 | $10 | Jul 28, 2025 |
 Netanyahu out by August 31?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.969 | $1 | Jul 28, 2025 |
 US x Iran ceasefire before August?No | buy | 4.02 | $0.996 | $4 | Jul 28, 2025 |
 MicroStrategy purchases >5000 BTC July 22-28?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Jul 28, 2025 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before July?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Jun 29, 2025 |
 Will Bill Ackman announce a new candidate for NYC Mayor before July?No | buy | 3.02 | $0.994 | $3 | Jun 29, 2025 |
 Will Michael Bloomberg announce NYC mayoral run before August?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.977 | $1 | Jun 29, 2025 |
 Will Bill Ackman announce NYC mayoral run before August?No | buy | 2.06 | $0.969 | $2 | Jun 29, 2025 |
 Thune fires Senate Parliamentarian MacDonough before July?No | buy | 5.02 | $0.997 | $5 | Jun 29, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani be deported before November?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.969 | $1 | Jun 29, 2025 |
 Macron cocaine use confirmed?No | buy | 10.02 | $0.998 | $10 | May 27, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet less than 100 times May 23–30?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | May 27, 2025 |
 Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility in May?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.979 | $1 | May 27, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum reach $4000 in April?No | buy | 2 | $0.999 | $2 | Apr 20, 2025 |
 Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.995 | $2 | Apr 20, 2025 |
 Will Alibaba have the top AI model on April 30?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | Apr 20, 2025 |
 Kilmar Abrego Garcia released from custody in April?No | buy | 2.07 | $0.964 | $2 | Apr 20, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after May 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.994 | $1 | Apr 20, 2025 |