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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?Yes | buy | 16.13 | $0.620 | $10 | Dec 27, 2025 |
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| sell |
| 1 |
| $0.998 |
| $1 |
| Dec 18, 2025 |
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 7.46 | $0.670 | $5 | Dec 10, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2025?Yes | buy | 81.17 | $0.062 | $5 | Dec 8, 2025 |
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 9?Yes | sell | 5.55 | $0.059 | $0.33 | Dec 8, 2025 |
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 2-8?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.600 | $5 | Dec 8, 2025 |
Will Sam Altman be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Dec 8, 2025 |
Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.200 | $2 | Dec 8, 2025 |
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 2.44 | $0.410 | $1 | Dec 8, 2025 |
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 7.81 | $0.640 | $5 | Dec 7, 2025 |
Another critical Cloudflare incident by December 31?Yes | buy | 10.87 | $0.230 | $2.5 | Dec 7, 2025 |
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 9?No | buy | 18.18 | $0.110 | $2 | Dec 7, 2025 |
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 15?No | buy | 5.16 | $0.969 | $5 | Dec 7, 2025 |
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 31?Yes | buy | 5.36 | $0.933 | $5 | Dec 7, 2025 |
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 9?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.900 | $5 | Dec 7, 2025 |
Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?No | buy | 5.14 | $0.972 | $5 | Nov 30, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 5.12 | $0.977 | $5 | Nov 30, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 5.16 | $0.969 | $5 | Nov 30, 2025 |
Obama in jail in 2025?No | buy | 1 | $0.996 | $1 | Nov 30, 2025 |