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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 678 | $0.994 | $672.24 | -$1.7 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 122 | $0.992 | $121.02 | Aug 9, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 21 |
| $0.999 |
| $20.98 |
| Aug 7, 2026 |
Will Meta (META) close at <$510 on the final day of trading of the week of Aug 3 – Aug 7?No | buy | 100 | $0.998 | $99.8 | Aug 7, 2026 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 121 | $0.996 | $120.52 | Jul 26, 2026 |
Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | buy | 126 | $0.944 | $118.94 | Jul 10, 2026 |
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $35 by end of June?No | buy | 119 | $0.998 | $118.76 | Jun 29, 2026 |
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No | buy | 119 | $0.992 | $118.05 | Jun 16, 2026 |
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 119 | $0.992 | $118.05 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Netanyahu out by June 30?No | sell | 121 | $0.974 | $117.85 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?No | buy | 119 | $0.975 | $116.02 | May 1, 2026 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 116 | $0.994 | $115.3 | Apr 18, 2026 |
Trump out as President by April 30?No | sell | 116 | $0.994 | $115.3 | Apr 18, 2026 |
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 April 6-12?No | buy | 109.92 | $0.995 | $109.37 | Apr 8, 2026 |
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 April 6-12?No | buy | 4.99 | $0.990 | $4.94 | Apr 8, 2026 |
Trump out as President by March 31?No | buy | 113.5 | $0.992 | $112.59 | Mar 17, 2026 |
Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of March 9 above $40?Yes | buy | 113 | $0.998 | $112.77 | Mar 7, 2026 |
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at <$0 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 23 – Feb 27?No | buy | 44.88 | $0.998 | $44.79 | Feb 25, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?No | buy | 112 | $0.999 | $111.89 | Feb 7, 2026 |
Trump out as President by March 31?No | sell | 116 | $0.969 | $112.4 | Feb 7, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 740+ tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?No | buy | 112 | $0.999 | $111.89 | Jan 24, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 600-619 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?No | buy | 112 | $0.996 | $111.55 | Jan 20, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?No | buy | 111 | $0.998 | $110.78 | Jan 13, 2026 |
Will XRP reach $2.60 December 29-January 4?No | buy | 0.95 | $0.999 | $0.95 | Jan 3, 2026 |
Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | sell | 106 | $0.996 | $105.58 | Dec 27, 2025 |
Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 106 | $0.995 | $105.47 | Dec 19, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?No | buy | 26 | $0.999 | $25.97 | Dec 14, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?No | buy | 80 | $0.999 | $79.92 | Dec 14, 2025 |
Will Ethereum hit $17,000 by December 31?No | sell | 106 | $0.998 | $105.79 | Dec 14, 2025 |
Will Ethereum hit $17,000 by December 31?No | buy | 106 | $0.998 | $105.79 | Dec 12, 2025 |
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 7?No | buy | 106 | $0.999 | $105.89 | Dec 8, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?No | buy | 106 | $0.999 | $105.89 | Dec 2, 2025 |
Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | sell | 8 | $0.987 | $7.9 | Dec 2, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 1400+ tweets in November 2025?No | buy | 12 | $0.997 | $11.96 | Nov 20, 2025 |
Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 8 | $0.986 | $7.89 | Nov 20, 2025 |
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?No | buy | 38 | $0.999 | $37.96 | Nov 20, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?No | buy | 27 | $0.997 | $26.92 | Nov 20, 2025 |
Will Oracle be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?No | buy | 21 | $0.999 | $20.98 | Nov 20, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?No | buy | 105 | $0.998 | $104.79 | Nov 12, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?No | buy | 101 | $0.999 | $100.9 | Nov 10, 2025 |
Will Dave’s Hot Chicken be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 7?No | buy | 83.88 | $0.998 | $83.71 | Nov 6, 2025 |
Will DeepSeek’s DeepSeek V3.1 Chat lose the NOF1.ai competition?No | buy | 109 | $0.996 | $108.56 | Nov 1, 2025 |