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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Google have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?No | buy | 1.74 | $0.995 | $1.73 | Dec 27, 2025 |
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| buy |
| 1.79 |
| $0.985 |
| $1.76 |
| Dec 27, 2025 |
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?Yes | buy | 1.62 | $0.952 | $1.54 | Dec 27, 2025 |
Will Google have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?No | buy | 1.84 | $0.998 | $1.84 | Dec 27, 2025 |
Will xAI have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?No | buy | 1.54 | $0.995 | $1.53 | Dec 27, 2025 |
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?No | buy | 1.39 | $0.988 | $1.37 | Dec 27, 2025 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?Yes | buy | 1.59 | $0.980 | $1.56 | Dec 27, 2025 |
Will Z.ai have the top AI model on December 31?No | buy | 1.49 | $0.999 | $1.49 | Dec 27, 2025 |
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?No | buy | 1.58 | $0.999 | $1.58 | Dec 27, 2025 |
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?No | buy | 1.56 | $0.999 | $1.56 | Dec 27, 2025 |
Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?No | buy | 1.44 | $0.987 | $1.42 | Dec 27, 2025 |
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 1.36 | $0.984 | $1.34 | Dec 27, 2025 |
Will OpenAI have the best AI model on October 31?No | buy | 1.4 | $0.999 | $1.4 | Oct 29, 2025 |
Will Google have the best AI model on October 31?Yes | buy | 2.01 | $0.994 | $2 | Oct 29, 2025 |
Will UP win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?No | buy | 1.27 | $0.998 | $1.27 | Oct 29, 2025 |
Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?Yes | buy | 1.26 | $0.990 | $1.25 | Oct 29, 2025 |
Will Alibaba have the second best AI model on September 30?Yes | buy | 1.93 | $0.920 | $1.78 | Sep 23, 2025 |
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on September 30?No | buy | 2.39 | $0.990 | $2.37 | Sep 23, 2025 |
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on September 30?No | buy | 3.83 | $0.989 | $3.79 | Sep 23, 2025 |
Will Google have the top AI model on September 30?Yes | buy | 3.82 | $0.960 | $3.67 | Sep 23, 2025 |
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes | buy | 3.52 | $0.966 | $3.4 | Sep 23, 2025 |
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on September 30?No | buy | 3.01 | $0.996 | $3 | Sep 23, 2025 |
Will xAI have the top AI model on September 30?No | buy | 2.46 | $0.996 | $2.45 | Sep 23, 2025 |
Will Google have the top AI model on September 30?Yes | buy | 3.04 | $0.987 | $3 | Sep 23, 2025 |
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?No | buy | 4.88 | $0.963 | $4.7 | Aug 12, 2025 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | buy | 5.21 | $0.960 | $5 | Aug 12, 2025 |
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 2.21 | $0.995 | $2.2 | Aug 12, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 4.41 | $0.952 | $4.2 | Aug 12, 2025 |
Will xAI have the top AI model on August 31?No | buy | 3.55 | $0.929 | $3.3 | Aug 12, 2025 |
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on July 31?No | buy | 3.21 | $0.997 | $3.2 | Jul 31, 2025 |
Will Google have the top AI model on July 31?Yes | buy | 3.03 | $0.991 | $3 | Jul 31, 2025 |
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on June 30?No | buy | 5.18 | $0.966 | $5 | Jun 15, 2025 |
Will Google have the top AI model on May 31?Yes | buy | 5.67 | $0.935 | $5.3 | May 29, 2025 |
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?Yes | buy | 6.26 | $0.958 | $6 | May 29, 2025 |
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | buy | 1.25K | $0.943 | $1.18K | Nov 22, 2024 |
Will Kamala Harris be inaugurated?Yes | buy | 1.2K | $0.022 | $26.4 | Nov 22, 2024 |
Will Atletico Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?Yes | buy | 1.3K | $0.018 | $23.4 | Nov 22, 2024 |
Will Juventus win the UEFA Champions League?Yes | buy | 1.3K | $0.016 | $20.8 | Nov 22, 2024 |