Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 13.11 | $0.722 | $11.21 | +$1.74 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | 2d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 50.05 |
| $0.255 |
| $11.01 |
| -$1.77 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | No | 5.37 | $0.745 | $5.02 | +$1.02 |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | No | 6.48 | $0.617 | $4.37 | +$0.37 |
 Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? | Yes | 4.85 | $0.619 | $4.04 | +$1.04 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | No | 4.14 | $0.710 | $3.25 | +$0.31 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | 3.28 | $0.915 | $3.18 | +$0.18 |
 Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? | No | 3.1 | $0.966 | $3.03 | +$0.03 |
 Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | Yes | 2.78 | $0.360 | $2.65 | +$1.65 |
 U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? | Yes | 15.33 | $0.391 | $2.3 | -$3.7 |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay? | Yes | 30.51 | $0.164 | $2.29 | -$2.71 |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? | No | 2.06 | $0.800 | $2.04 | +$0.39 |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | Yes | 7.42 | $0.270 | $1.97 | -$0.03 |
 Kash Patel out by December 31? | Yes | 8.09 | $0.618 | $1.9 | -$3.1 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 3.74 | $0.535 | $1.78 | -$0.22 |
 Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | Yes | 5.14 | $0.389 | $1.49 | -$0.51 |
 Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027? | No | 1.49 | $0.970 | $1.46 | +$0.01 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 17.04 | $0.184 | $1.45 | -$1.68 |
| Will there be at least 3500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | Yes | 1.34 | $0.830 | $1.34 | +$0.23 |
 Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026? | No | 1.41 | $0.710 | $1.28 | +$0.28 |
 Will Moonshot have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1.21 | +$0.21 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | Yes | 38.16 | $0.191 | $1.2 | -$6.09 |
 Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? | No | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1.17 | +$0.17 |
 Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? | No | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1.14 | +$0.14 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | No | 7.31 | $0.547 | $1.11 | -$2.89 |
| buy |
| 1.05 |
| $0.950 |
| $1 |
| 2d ago |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 10.31 | $0.097 | $1 | 2d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 4.14 | $0.710 | $2.94 | 3d ago |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Yes | buy | 43 | $0.070 | $3.01 | 21d ago |
 Will Trump say "Ballroom" this week?Yes | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | 25d ago |
 Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | 28d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | buy | 1.85 | $0.540 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?Yes | buy | 1 | $0.998 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 131.61 | $0.200 | $26.32 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.37 | $0.730 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.003 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.020 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.009 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?No | buy | 1.29 | $0.778 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Todd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by October 31?Yes | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Todd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Todd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by October 31?Yes | buy | 1.96 | $0.510 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?No | buy | 1.83 | $0.547 | $1 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?No | buy | 1.96 | $0.510 | $1 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?No | buy | 2.08 | $0.480 | $1 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?No | buy | 1.63 | $0.615 | $1 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?No | buy | 2.03 | $0.492 | $1 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 122.45 | $0.200 | $24.49 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Anthony Fauci charged by December 31?No | buy | 1.61 | $0.620 | $1 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?Yes | buy | 1.39 | $0.720 | $1 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?No | buy | 2.59 | $0.386 | $1 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.72 | $0.269 | $1 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.64 | $0.610 | $1 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 6.5 | $0.400 | $2.6 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.7 | $0.370 | $1 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 8 | $0.380 | $3.04 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 12.04 | $0.771 | $9.28 | Aug 1, 2026 |