Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | No | 568.18 | $0.880 | $502.84 | +$2.84 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August?No | buy | 116.86 | $0.856 | $100 | 27d ago |
|
| No |
| 520.55 |
| $0.880 |
| $500.24 |
| +$42.16 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | 312.5 | $0.640 | $267.19 | +$67.19 |
 OpenAI IPO before 2027? | No | 240.96 | $0.830 | $223.01 | +$23.01 |
 China x Japan military clash before 2027? | No | 227.27 | $0.880 | $214.77 | +$14.77 |
 Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 257.07 | $0.389 | $156.56 | +$56.56 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 769.23 | $0.130 | $141.15 | +$41.15 |
| buy |
| 568.18 |
| $0.880 |
| $500 |
| 27d ago |
| OpenAI IPO before 2027?No | buy | 240.96 | $0.830 | $200 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in July?No | buy | 108.7 | $0.920 | $100 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 257.07 | $0.389 | $100 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 434.78 | $0.230 | $100 | May 16, 2026 |
 Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?Yes | buy | 470.01 | $0.213 | $100 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 2.41K | $0.041 | $100 | Mar 21, 2026 |
 Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?Yes | buy | 837.97 | $0.119 | $100 | Mar 20, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | buy | 365.85 | $0.820 | $300 | Mar 20, 2026 |
 Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No | buy | 121.95 | $0.820 | $100 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 312.5 | $0.640 | $200 | Mar 20, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?No | sell | 609.75 | $0.810 | $493.9 | Jan 1, 2026 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 112.36 | $0.890 | $100 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 769.23 | $0.130 | $100 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?No | buy | 609.76 | $0.820 | $500 | Jan 1, 2026 |
 Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | sell | 440.62 | $0.998 | $439.74 | Jan 1, 2026 |
 Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No | sell | 142.6 | $0.989 | $141.03 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No | buy | 142.61 | $0.701 | $100 | Dec 31, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?No | sell | 730.38 | $0.725 | $529.56 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?No | buy | 730.38 | $0.940 | $686.56 | Dec 25, 2025 |
 Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 746.26 | $0.920 | $686.56 | Dec 25, 2025 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 293.27 | $0.880 | $258.08 | Dec 25, 2025 |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 227.27 | $0.880 | $200 | Dec 25, 2025 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 227.27 | $0.880 | $200 | Dec 25, 2025 |
 Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | sell | 357.14 | $0.180 | $64.29 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 357.14 | $0.280 | $100 | Dec 2, 2025 |
| Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 222.22 | $0.450 | $100 | Dec 2, 2025 |
| Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | buy | 108.23 | $0.924 | $100 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 109.89 | $0.910 | $100 | Dec 2, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?No | buy | 144.93 | $0.690 | $100 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes | buy | 212.99 | $0.939 | $200 | Dec 2, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 746.27 | $0.670 | $500 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.600 | $100 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?No | buy | 519.16 | $0.963 | $500 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 Will CZ return to Binance by December 31?No | buy | 521.88 | $0.958 | $500 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | sell | 166.72 | $0.103 | $17.25 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 Maduro out in 2025?No | buy | 240.96 | $0.830 | $200 | Nov 27, 2025 |
| Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | buy | 166.72 | $0.300 | $50 | Nov 26, 2025 |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.100 | $100 | Nov 26, 2025 |
| Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | buy | 332.4 | $0.602 | $200 | Nov 26, 2025 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 175.44 | $0.570 | $100 | Nov 25, 2025 |
 Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 150m and 163m?Yes | sell | 240.38 | $0.093 | $22.29 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 150m and 163m?Yes | buy | 240.38 | $0.208 | $50 | Nov 23, 2025 |
| Maduro out in 2025?No | buy | 253.17 | $0.790 | $200 | Nov 23, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 149.25 | $0.670 | $100 | Nov 23, 2025 |
 Will Mark Carney be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?Yes | sell | 3.14K | $0.939 | $2.95K | Feb 13, 2025 |
| Will Mark Carney be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?Yes | buy | 3.14K | $0.670 | $2.1K | Jan 19, 2025 |