Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US recession in 2025?No | buy | 56.42 | $0.360 | $20.31 | Apr 9, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 250 |
| $0.073 |
| $18.24 |
| Apr 9, 2025 |
 Will Randy Fine win by 20-25%?Yes | sell | 556.55 | $0.001 | $0.56 | Apr 1, 2025 |
 Will Randy Fine win by more than 25%?Yes | sell | 75.77 | $0.001 | $0.08 | Apr 1, 2025 |
 Wisconsin Supreme Court election: Susan Crawford vs. Brad SchimelSchimel | buy | 80 | $0.150 | $12 | Apr 1, 2025 |
| Will Randy Fine win by more than 25%?Yes | buy | 75.77 | $0.040 | $3 | Apr 1, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | buy | 312.5 | $0.080 | $25 | Mar 31, 2025 |
| Will Randy Fine win by 20-25%?Yes | buy | 556.56 | $0.011 | $6 | Mar 29, 2025 |
| Trump's birthright citizenship ban unblocked before July?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.060 | $15 | Mar 23, 2025 |
 Will Trump audit Ukraine aid before May?No | sell | 70 | $0.890 | $62.3 | Mar 23, 2025 |
 Trump executive order ending Department of Education by Thursday?No | buy | 81.12 | $0.234 | $19 | Mar 20, 2025 |
 Will Trump recognize Somaliland in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 526 | $0.038 | $20 | Mar 7, 2025 |
 Will Trump sell 25k-100k Gold Cards in 2025?Yes | buy | 289.03 | $0.069 | $20 | Mar 7, 2025 |
| Will Trump audit Ukraine aid before May?No | buy | 70 | $0.286 | $20 | Feb 28, 2025 |
 Less than 49 Senators vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard as as Director of National Intelligence?Yes | sell | 19.58 | $0.012 | $0.23 | Feb 10, 2025 |
 Will 50 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?Yes | buy | 5.79 | $0.345 | $2 | Jan 27, 2025 |
| Will fewer than 49 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.090 | $10 | Jan 27, 2025 |
| Will 49 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI DirectorYes | buy | 133.33 | $0.060 | $8 | Jan 27, 2025 |
| Will 50 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?Yes | buy | 47.9 | $0.188 | $9 | Jan 27, 2025 |
| Will 52 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.260 | $2 | Jan 27, 2025 |
| Will 51 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.200 | $8 | Jan 27, 2025 |
| Will 52 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?Yes | buy | 27.69 | $0.253 | $7 | Jan 27, 2025 |
 Will Trump issue an executive order on Day 7?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.070 | $10 | Jan 26, 2025 |
 Will ECB make no change in interest rates in January 2025?Yes | buy | 184.64 | $0.027 | $5 | Jan 26, 2025 |
 Will Kevin O'Leary buy TikTok?Yes | sell | 255.95 | $0.238 | $61.01 | Jan 26, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk visit Stargate Texas site before March?Yes | buy | 161.25 | $0.120 | $19.35 | Jan 24, 2025 |
| Will 52 Senators vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard as as Director of National Intelligence?Yes | buy | 38.89 | $0.180 | $7 | Jan 23, 2025 |
| Will 51 Senators vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard as as Director of National Intelligence?Yes | buy | 45 | $0.156 | $7 | Jan 23, 2025 |
| Less than 49 Senators vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard as as Director of National Intelligence?Yes | buy | 19.58 | $0.357 | $7 | Jan 23, 2025 |
| Will 50 Senators vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard as as Director of National Intelligence?Yes | buy | 41.88 | $0.191 | $8 | Jan 23, 2025 |
| Will 49 Senators vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard as as Director of National Intelligence?Yes | buy | 200.5 | $0.040 | $8 | Jan 23, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 454.55 | $0.011 | $5 | Jan 23, 2025 |
 Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.160 | $10 | Jan 23, 2025 |
 Trump cryptocurrency executive order in first week?Yes | sell | 71.42 | $0.999 | $71.35 | Jan 23, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 4.73K | $0.002 | $9.46 | Jan 23, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 416.67 | $0.012 | $5 | Jan 23, 2025 |
| Will Trump recognize Somaliland in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 102 | $0.098 | $10 | Jan 22, 2025 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before July?Yes | buy | 408.16 | $0.049 | $20 | Jan 22, 2025 |
| Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.360 | $20 | Jan 22, 2025 |
| Trump cryptocurrency executive order in first week?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.280 | $20 | Jan 22, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump issue 50-74 executive orders in his first week?Yes | sell | 117.64 | $0.141 | $16.59 | Jan 22, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump issue 25-49 executive orders in his first week?Yes | sell | 27.77 | $0.770 | $21.38 | Jan 22, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump issue 100 or more executive orders in his first week?Yes | sell | 160.55 | $0.026 | $4.22 | Jan 22, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump issue 75-99 executive orders in his first week?Yes | sell | 150 | $0.040 | $6 | Jan 22, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 by January 31, 2025?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.070 | $7 | Jan 22, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by January 31, 2025?Yes | sell | 38.29 | $0.580 | $22.21 | Jan 22, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by January 31, 2025?Yes | sell | 47.05 | $0.150 | $7.06 | Jan 22, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by January 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 12.07 | $0.610 | $7.36 | Jan 22, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by January 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 47.06 | $0.170 | $8 | Jan 22, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 by January 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.080 | $8 | Jan 22, 2025 |