Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? | Yes | 207.12 | $0.232 | $25.89 | -$22.11 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August?Yes | sell | 41.66 | $0.070 | $2.92 | 17d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 224.44 |
| $0.134 |
| $13.58 |
| -$16.42 |
| Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? | Yes | 5.88 | $0.230 | $5.07 | +$3.72 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | Yes | 16.13 | $0.310 | $2.18 | -$2.82 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 10.41 | $0.197 | $1.51 | -$0.54 |
| Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026? | Yes | 32.22 | $0.233 | $1.21 | -$6.29 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | Yes | 22.22 | $0.090 | $1.09 | -$0.91 |
| buy |
| 83.33 |
| $0.120 |
| $10 |
| 17d ago |
| Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?Yes | sell | 59.34 | $0.755 | $44.8 | 22d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in August?Yes | buy | 39.5 | $0.100 | $3.95 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in August?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.160 | $5 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.250 | $10 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.360 | $30 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 US charges Hormuz fees by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 277.78 | $0.018 | $5 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by August 15?Yes | buy | 107.36 | $0.279 | $30 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.020 | $5 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31?Yes | buy | 208.1 | $0.048 | $10 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Farsi Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Yes | buy | 104.17 | $0.048 | $5 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.035 | $5 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Yes | buy | 397.6 | $0.050 | $20 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Iran full airspace closure by August 31?Yes | buy | 84.68 | $0.354 | $30 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 15?Yes | buy | 134 | $0.299 | $40 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Yes | buy | 22.22 | $0.090 | $2 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?Yes | buy | 57.3 | $0.262 | $15 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.011 | $1 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of June?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.030 | $5 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.070 | $5 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?Yes | sell | 96.64 | $0.297 | $28.7 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?Yes | buy | 235.29 | $0.017 | $4 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?Yes | buy | 27.51 | $0.291 | $8 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?Yes | sell | 78.38 | $0.026 | $2.04 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?Yes | sell | 26.78 | $0.044 | $1.17 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?Yes | sell | 18.1 | $0.030 | $0.54 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?Yes | sell | 30.78 | $0.013 | $0.41 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?Yes | sell | 31.24 | $0.012 | $0.37 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.140 | $5 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?Yes | buy | 54.05 | $0.037 | $2 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.350 | $10 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 11.02 | $0.609 | $6.71 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | buy | 95.24 | $0.210 | $20 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?Yes | sell | 50.45 | $0.038 | $1.92 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 31.22 | $0.180 | $5.62 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 72.9 | $0.043 | $3.12 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?Yes | sell | 41.04 | $0.067 | $2.77 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?Yes | sell | 72.43 | $0.110 | $7.97 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes | sell | 344.2 | $0.038 | $13.08 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?Yes | buy | 10.1 | $0.099 | $1 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes | buy | 123.66 | $0.040 | $5 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?Yes | buy | 37.1 | $0.135 | $5 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.170 | $10 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.040 | $10 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes | sell | 255.82 | $0.026 | $6.69 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?Yes | sell | 124.96 | $0.017 | $2.12 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?Yes | sell | 374.89 | $0.018 | $6.75 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?Yes | sell | 37.75 | $0.190 | $7.17 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?Yes | sell | 71.98 | $0.134 | $9.64 | Jun 8, 2026 |