Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 1.02 |
| $0.980 |
| $1 |
| Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in February?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.992 | $1 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.987 | $1 | Dec 27, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.983 | $1 | Dec 27, 2025 |
 Will xAI have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.984 | $1 | Dec 27, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?Yes | buy | 1.03 | $0.975 | $1 | Dec 27, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.993 | $1 | Dec 27, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum reach $5400 in October?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.993 | $1 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $90k in October?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.992 | $1 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $95k in October?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.988 | $1 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $135k in October?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.988 | $1 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI have the top AI model on October 31?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.994 | $1 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Will Anthropic have the top AI model on October 31?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.985 | $1 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on October 31?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.967 | $1 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on October 31?Yes | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.992 | $1 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.985 | $1 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.992 | $1 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Will Google have the best AI model on October 31?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.989 | $1 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on September 30?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.993 | $1 | Sep 28, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on September 30?Yes | buy | 1.03 | $0.969 | $1 | Sep 28, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $3200 in September?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.997 | $2 | Sep 28, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $3400 in September?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.993 | $1 | Sep 28, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum reach $4800 in September?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.994 | $1 | Sep 28, 2025 |
| Will OpenAi have the top AI model on September 30?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.997 | $2 | Sep 21, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on September 30?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.995 | $2 | Sep 21, 2025 |
| Will Anthropic have the top AI model on September 30?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.993 | $2 | Sep 21, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | Aug 10, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on August 31?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.939 | $1 | Aug 10, 2025 |
 Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.963 | $1 | Aug 10, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | buy | 1.04 | $0.963 | $1 | Aug 10, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | Aug 10, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.07 | $0.933 | $1 | Aug 10, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum reach $4500 in July?No | buy | 2.03 | $0.986 | $2 | Jul 29, 2025 |
 Will Solana reach $250 in July?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.997 | $2 | Jul 29, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on July 31?No | buy | 2.04 | $0.980 | $2 | Jul 29, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on July 31?Yes | buy | 3.1 | $0.967 | $3 | Jul 29, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | buy | 2.02 | $0.992 | $2 | Jul 29, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on June 30?Yes | buy | 2.94 | $0.985 | $2.9 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 Fed rate hike in 2025?No | sell | 5.3 | $0.850 | $4.51 | May 5, 2025 |
 Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | sell | 5.2 | $0.986 | $5.13 | Apr 10, 2025 |
 Will CDU/CSU and SPD form the next German Government?Yes | sell | 5.1 | $0.989 | $5.04 | Apr 10, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | sell | 12.03 | $0.948 | $11.4 | Nov 14, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | buy | 12.04 | $0.948 | $11.41 | Nov 14, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 2.37K | $0.565 | $1.34K | Nov 3, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 2.37K | $0.563 | $1.34K | Nov 3, 2024 |
 Will a Republican win Wyoming Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 25.61 | $0.973 | $24.92 | Oct 18, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 2.58K | $0.390 | $1.01K | Oct 18, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 2.58K | $0.393 | $1.01K | Oct 18, 2024 |