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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | Yes | 169.13 | $0.187 | $11.84 | -$19.81 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 190.21 | $0.240 | $45.65 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 222.22 |
| $0.009 |
| $0.11 |
| -$1.89 |
| sell |
| 123.39 |
| $0.370 |
| $45.65 |
| Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 123.4 | $0.530 | $65.4 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Will Bianca Censori be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.120 | $6 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 Will Luigi Mangione be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Yes | buy | 67.57 | $0.074 | $5 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.380 | $20 | Nov 23, 2025 |
 Will Jamie Dimon be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes | buy | 53.09 | $0.377 | $20 | Nov 19, 2025 |
 Will Oprah Winfrey be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes | buy | 68.96 | $0.145 | $10 | Nov 19, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 38.46 | $0.130 | $5 | Nov 19, 2025 |
 Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?No | buy | 22.73 | $0.440 | $10 | Nov 19, 2025 |
 Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?No | buy | 43.48 | $0.230 | $10 | Nov 19, 2025 |
 Will Hezbollah disarm in 2025?Yes | buy | 222.22 | $0.045 | $10 | Nov 19, 2025 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 32.26 | $0.310 | $10 | Nov 3, 2025 |
 Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?No | sell | 16.12 | $0.991 | $15.97 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?No | buy | 16.13 | $0.310 | $5 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Biden" 2+ times during Xi events on October 29?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.350 | $5 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Will Trump and Xi shake hands for between 2 and 6 seconds on October 30, 2025?Yes | buy | 17.86 | $0.280 | $5 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?No | sell | 64.51 | $0.910 | $58.7 | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?No | buy | 28.09 | $0.178 | $5 | Oct 28, 2025 |
| Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?No | buy | 64.52 | $0.310 | $20 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?Yes | sell | 134.11 | $0.850 | $113.99 | Oct 17, 2025 |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 54.38 | $0.160 | $8.7 | Oct 7, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell in 2025?Yes | buy | 296.22 | $0.068 | $20 | Oct 7, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.050 | $20 | Oct 6, 2025 |
 Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30?Yes | buy | 1.05K | $0.002 | $2 | Oct 4, 2025 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 241.36 | $0.210 | $50.69 | Oct 3, 2025 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 241.36 | $0.220 | $53.1 | Oct 1, 2025 |
 Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?Yes | sell | 66.38 | $0.800 | $53.1 | Oct 1, 2025 |
| Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?Yes | buy | 66.39 | $0.601 | $39.89 | Sep 28, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?Yes | sell | 134.11 | $0.297 | $39.89 | Sep 28, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?Yes | buy | 268.23 | $0.310 | $83.15 | Sep 26, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Antifa" this week? (September 22-28)Yes | buy | 20.83 | $0.480 | $10 | Sep 26, 2025 |
 Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-25?Yes | sell | 38.46 | $0.880 | $33.84 | Sep 25, 2025 |
| Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-25?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.520 | $20 | Sep 25, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Ukraine" or "Russia" 7+ times during events with Turkish president on September 25?Yes | sell | 10.2 | $0.991 | $10.11 | Sep 25, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Million / Billion / Trillion" 10+ times during events with Turkish president on September 25?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.999 | $39.96 | Sep 25, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Million / Billion / Trillion" 10+ times during events with Turkish president on September 25?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.500 | $20 | Sep 25, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Ukraine" or "Russia" 7+ times during events with Turkish president on September 25?Yes | buy | 10.2 | $0.490 | $5 | Sep 25, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Turkish president on September 25?Yes | buy | 15.43 | $0.324 | $5 | Sep 25, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during events with Turkish president on September 25?Yes | buy | 13.51 | $0.370 | $5 | Sep 25, 2025 |
 Will anyone say "Polymarket" during South Park's prediction market episode?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.240 | $2 | Sep 24, 2025 |
| Will anyone say "Rugged" during South Park's prediction market episode?Yes | buy | 22.73 | $0.220 | $5 | Sep 24, 2025 |
| Will anyone say "Dildo" during South Park's prediction market episode?No | buy | 12.82 | $0.390 | $5 | Sep 24, 2025 |
| Will anyone say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during South Park's prediction market episode?Yes | buy | 12.2 | $0.410 | $5 | Sep 24, 2025 |
 Will JD Vance say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during remarks in NC on September 24?Yes | buy | 16.13 | $0.310 | $5 | Sep 24, 2025 |
| Will JD Vance say "America" or "American" 30+ times during remarks in NC on September 24?No | buy | 16.67 | $0.300 | $5 | Sep 24, 2025 |
| Will JD Vance say "Trump" or "President" 20+ times during remarks in NC on September 24?No | buy | 33.33 | $0.300 | $10 | Sep 24, 2025 |
 Will Kimmel say "Trump" 10+ times during return show on September 23?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.780 | $15.6 | Sep 23, 2025 |
| Will Kimmel say "Trump" 10+ times during return show on September 23?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.720 | $7.2 | Sep 23, 2025 |
| Will Kimmel say "Elon" or "Musk" during return show on September 23?Yes | buy | 20.41 | $0.490 | $10 | Sep 23, 2025 |