Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 9 | $0.808 | $7.7 | +$0.43 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 3 | $0.570 | $1.71 | 12d ago |
|
| No |
| 7.5 |
| $0.653 |
| $6.49 |
| +$1.59 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | No | 3 | $0.720 | $2.78 | +$0.62 |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30? | No | 3.75 | $0.640 | $2.72 | +$0.32 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 2 | $0.790 | $1.73 | +$0.15 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 3 | $0.570 | $1.37 | -$0.34 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | Yes | 5 | $0.870 | $1.08 | -$3.28 |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30? | Yes | 3 | $0.640 | $0.83 | -$1.1 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026? | No | 2.5 | $0.420 | $0.74 | -$0.31 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? | Yes | 2.5 | $0.760 | $0.68 | -$1.23 |
| buy |
| 2 |
| $0.870 |
| $1.74 |
| 13d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.780 | $3.9 | 15d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.800 | $4 | 18d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?No | buy | 3.75 | $0.640 | $2.4 | 19d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.730 | $3.65 | 20d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 3 | $0.720 | $2.16 | 23d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?Yes | buy | 3 | $0.640 | $1.92 | 24d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 2.5 | $0.500 | $1.25 | 25d ago |
 Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13?Yes | buy | 3.75 | $0.880 | $3.3 | 28d ago |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?No | buy | 2.5 | $0.420 | $1.05 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 9, 2026?No | buy | 2 | $0.790 | $1.58 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 3 | $0.860 | $2.58 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 5 | $0.810 | $4.05 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Yes | buy | 2.5 | $0.760 | $1.9 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?No | buy | 2 | $0.760 | $1.52 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026?No | buy | 3 | $0.870 | $2.61 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?Yes | buy | 3 | $0.760 | $2.28 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Yes | buy | 3 | $0.690 | $2.07 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.810 | $1.62 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.720 | $3.6 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.870 | $4.35 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?No | buy | 3 | $0.810 | $2.43 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | buy | 3 | $0.860 | $2.58 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?No | buy | 2 | $0.810 | $1.62 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 2 | $0.740 | $1.48 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | buy | 2 | $0.790 | $1.58 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Iran full airspace closure by August 15?No | buy | 2 | $0.780 | $1.56 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 2 | $0.840 | $1.68 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.001 | $0.1 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?Yes | buy | 2.9 | $0.679 | $1.97 | Jul 22, 2026 |