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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Israel strike on Yemen by October 15?Yes | sell | 55.15 | $0.004 | $0.22 | Oct 14, 2025 |
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| buy |
| 55.15 |
| $0.725 |
| $40 |
| Oct 7, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 26 to October 3, 2025?Yes | buy | 61.54 | $0.884 | $54.4 | Oct 3, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 26 to October 3, 2025?Yes | buy | 120.63 | $0.829 | $100 | Oct 3, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from September 19 to September 26, 2025?No | buy | 82.41 | $0.971 | $80 | Sep 25, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025?Yes | sell | 80.32 | $0.999 | $80.24 | Sep 19, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025?Yes | buy | 80.33 | $0.909 | $73 | Sep 19, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025?Yes | sell | 929.2 | $0.017 | $15.44 | Sep 19, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025?No | buy | 396.56 | $0.173 | $68.67 | Sep 19, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025?Yes | buy | 424.66 | $0.146 | $62 | Sep 19, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025?Yes | buy | 929.2 | $0.043 | $40 | Sep 19, 2025 |
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during September press conference?Yes | sell | 105.26 | $0.100 | $10.53 | Sep 17, 2025 |
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during September press conference?Yes | buy | 105.26 | $0.950 | $100 | Sep 17, 2025 |
Will Powell say "Anchored" 3+ times during September press conference?Yes | buy | 94.81 | $0.633 | $60 | Sep 17, 2025 |
Will Powell say "Inflation" 60+ times during September press conference?No | buy | 27.03 | $0.740 | $20 | Sep 17, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 64.52 | $0.930 | $60 | Sep 17, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down on September 17?Down | sell | 67.41 | $0.999 | $67.34 | Sep 17, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down on September 17?Down | buy | 67.42 | $0.890 | $60 | Sep 17, 2025 |
Will Israel strike Yemen on September 20 ET?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Sep 16, 2025 |
Will Israel strike Yemen on September 21 ET?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Sep 16, 2025 |
Israel strikes 3 different countries by September 30?Yes | buy | 84.51 | $0.710 | $60 | Sep 16, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet between 240 and 259 times September 5–12?No | buy | 296.01 | $0.988 | $292.34 | Sep 12, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet between 220 and 239 times September 5–12?Yes | buy | 74.98 | $0.960 | $71.98 | Sep 12, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet between 220 and 239 times September 5–12?Yes | buy | 128.85 | $0.776 | $100 | Sep 12, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet between 220 and 239 times September 5–12?Yes | buy | 103.9 | $0.770 | $80 | Sep 12, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet between 260 and 279 times September 5–12?No | sell | 1 | $0.997 | $1 | Sep 12, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet between 260 and 279 times September 5–12?No | buy | 1 | $0.998 | $1 | Sep 12, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet between 450 and 479 times August 29–September 5?Yes | buy | 251.99 | $0.851 | $214.43 | Sep 5, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 180–194 times August 22–August 29?Yes | sell | 242.34 | $0.571 | $138.35 | Aug 29, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 180–194 times August 22–August 29?Yes | buy | 242.34 | $0.990 | $240 | Aug 29, 2025 |
Ethereum Up or Down - August 28, 10AM ETDown | buy | 63.83 | $0.940 | $60 | Aug 28, 2025 |
Solana Up or Down - August 28, 8AM ETDown | buy | 89.55 | $0.670 | $60 | Aug 28, 2025 |
Solana Up or Down - August 28, 8AM ETUp | buy | 67.42 | $0.890 | $60 | Aug 28, 2025 |
Solana Up or Down - August 27, 10PM ETUp | buy | 47.96 | $0.980 | $47 | Aug 28, 2025 |
| buy | 125 | $0.960 | $120 | Aug 28, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 10PM ETDown | buy | 15.79 | $0.950 | $15 | Aug 28, 2025 |
Ethereum Up or Down - August 27, 4AM ETDown | buy | 142.86 | $0.980 | $140 | Aug 27, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 3AM ETDown | sell | 239.13 | $0.990 | $236.74 | Aug 27, 2025 |
Solana Up or Down - August 27, 3AM ETUp | sell | 94.26 | $0.990 | $93.32 | Aug 27, 2025 |
| sell | 147.36 | $0.990 | $145.89 | Aug 27, 2025 |
Solana Up or Down - August 27, 3AM ETUp | buy | 94.26 | $0.990 | $93.32 | Aug 27, 2025 |
Solana Up or Down - August 27, 3AM ETDown | buy | 209.38 | $0.955 | $200 | Aug 27, 2025 |
Solana Up or Down - August 27, 3AM ETDown | buy | 183.07 | $0.874 | $160 | Aug 27, 2025 |
Solana Up or Down - August 27, 3AM ETDown | buy | 226.07 | $0.885 | $200 | Aug 27, 2025 |
| buy | 147.37 | $0.950 | $140 | Aug 27, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 3AM ETDown | buy | 239.13 | $0.920 | $220 | Aug 27, 2025 |
Solana Up or Down - August 26, 5PM ETUp | buy | 208.06 | $0.961 | $200 | Aug 26, 2025 |
Solana Up or Down - August 26, 5PM ETUp | buy | 236.46 | $0.930 | $220 | Aug 26, 2025 |
| buy | 102.04 | $0.980 | $100 | Aug 26, 2025 |
| buy | 200 | $0.500 | $100 | Aug 26, 2025 |